Week 14 Free Preview – New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills


The Bills (-4) are preparing to welcome their AFC East counterpart New York Jets to New Era Field. Interested parties can tune in to the action on CBS and this early afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 1:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills

In this Sunday AFC game, Buffalo is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 4 points. The Jets are also receiving +140 moneyline odds while the Bills are -160. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 38 points. There will likely be multiple good in-game betting opportunities for this contest.

The hapless Jets are 4-8 against the spread (ATS) and are down 7.0 units so far in 2018. The team’s posted an O/U record of 7-5.

The Bills have lost 2.2 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-7 ATS and have an O/U record of 5-7.

The Jets are 3-9 straight up (SU), including 0-4 SU against AFC East opponents. The Bills are 4-8 SU overall and 1-2 SU against divisional foes.

The Jets are looking to get back in stride after a 26-22 defeat to Tennessee last weekTheir defense allowed the Titans to run for 130 yards on 22 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Taywan Taylor logged a productive day for the Titans in that one with 104 yards on three catches. On the offense, Josh McCown completed just 17-of-30 passes for 128 yards and one interception. Isaiah Crowell (98 rushing yards on 21 attempts) led the ground attack in the loss while Robby Anderson (four receptions, 48 yards) and Crowell (four catches, nine yards) handled the receiving duties.

In Week 13, Miami took care of this Buffalo team by a score of 21-17. The Bills defense did its part in the loss, keeping the Dolphins to just 137 passing yards and 60 yards on the ground. Kenyan Drake had a solid showing for Miami, posting 31 rushing yards on seven attempts, along with 13 yards on two catches. For Buffalo, Josh Allen completed 18-of-33 passes for 231 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. LeSean McCoy (52 yards on 15 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Allen (135 yards on nine carries) spearheaded the ground attack in the defeat as Isaiah McKenzie (four receptions, 46 yards) and Zay Jones (four catches, 67 yards, two TDs) led the pass-catching corps.

New York has run the ball on 43.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Buffalo has a rush percentage of 48.6 percent. The Jets have run for 108.6 yards/game (including 69.8 per game against East opponents) and have seven scores via handoffs this year. The Bills are totaling 121.1 rush yards per game (152.0 in conference) and have nine total rushing TDs.

The Jets offense has averaged 206.1 yards in the air overall (243.5 per game versus conference opposition) and has 12 passing TDs so far. The Bills have recorded 185.9 pass yards per contest (264 in the AFC) and have eight total pass scores.

Defensively, New York has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 128.3 yards and throw for 263.8 yards per game. The Buffalo defense has allowed 202.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 107.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bills are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.12 to opponents, while the Jets have given up a 6.39 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, McCown is up to 263 yards on the year, and has connected on 53 percent of his 64 attempts with zero passing scores and three interceptions. He has a 1.52 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.03 over the past two games.

On the other sideline, Josh Allen has completed 93-of-172 passes for 1,063 yards, four TDs and seven INTs. Allen’s ANY/A sits at a terrible 3.32 for the year and 6.43 over his past two outings.

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Free NFL Tip

SU Winner: Jets, ATS Winner: Jets, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • The Buffalo D has sacked opposing QBs 31 times this year. New York has produced just 25 sacks.
  • Buffalo has lost seven fumbles in 2018 while New York has let six get away.
  • The Jets offense has produced four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Bills have accounted for six such plays.
  • The New York defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Buffalo has given up one such play.
  • The New York offense has created nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Buffalo has created 11 such runs.
  • The Jets defense has allowed 18 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Bills have given up nine such runs.
  • The Over/Under for Buffalo’s last match was set at 40. The under cashed in the 21-17 defeat to Miami.
  • Over its last three matches, Buffalo is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • In its last three games, New York is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for New York’s previous game was 40.5. The over cashed in the team’s 26-22 defeat to Tennessee.
  • New York has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.8 over its last two.
  • Buffalo has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 5.5 over its last two.