Utah Jazz at Oklahoma City Thunder Free Prediction


The Utah Jazz (13-14), 5.5-point underdogs, will be at Chesapeake Energy Arena to challenge the Oklahoma City Thunder (16-8) in a Northwest Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 216 points and it gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, December 10, 2018.

Utah Jazz vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Odds

Both teams were beaten in their last contest. The Thunder (8.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Chicago Bulls, 114-112, while the Jazz (1-point underdogs) fell to the San Antonio Spurs, 110-97. The Oklahoma City game finished 7 points over the projected point total of 219, while the Utah game went 8 points under the projected point total of 215.

Utah did a great job of converting from the charity stripe (14-19; 73.7 percent) while Oklahoma City held Chicago to an offensive rebounding percentage of 11.9 (below the 21.7 mark opponents have averaged against Oklahoma City this season). Russell Westbrook played well for Oklahoma City, accumulating 24 points, 17 rebounds and 13 assists on his way to his fourth triple-double of the year. Donovan Mitchell, meanwhile played a key role for Utah with 27 points and five rebounds.

This series was highly contested last year. Each won five of the 10 games played against each other last season. The Jazz won the last game 96-91. Utah had a better free throw rate (0.146 vs. 0.075). Oklahoma City, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (34.1 vs. 24.4). This will be the first contest of the year between these two teams.

Jazz matchups tend to go over the total (61.5 percent). Utah holds records of 13-14 straight up (SU) and 13-13 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Utah, games involving the Thunder have gone under the total 54.2 percent of the time. Additionally, Oklahoma City is 16-8 SU and 14-10 ATS.

Ricky Rubio has been outstanding recently for Utah, averaging 13 points,5.8 assists,1.2 steals over the last five games.

It will be a battle of contrasting styles as the up-tempo Thunder will look to push the more half-court-oriented Jazz. The Thunder currently rank seventh in possessions per game while the Jazz are 24th. Furthermore, the Jazz rank 27th in turnover percentage (15.0 percent), while the Thunder rank second in opponents’ turnover percentage (16.2 percent).

Utah Jazz at Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Jazz rank 2 in three pointers allowed per game (27.037037037037038) while the Thunder rank 7 (29.833333333333332).
  • Oklahoma City ranks first in points off turnovers per game (21.6) while Utah ranks 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.6).
  • The Thunder rank sixth in fast break points per game (16.0) while the Jazz rank 25th (10.3).
  • Oklahoma City ranks third in second chance points per game (15.8) while Utah ranks 17th (13.0).
  • Utah ranks 5 in blocks allowed per game (4.62962962962963) while Oklahoma City ranks 10 (4.833333333333333).
  • The Thunder average 10.4 steals per game, which ranks first in the league. The Jazz rank 25th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
  • The Thunder average 52.166666666666664 points in the paint per game, which ranks 6 in the NBA. The Jazz rank 17 in points allowed in the paint per game (49.18518518518518).
  • Oklahoma City ranks third in rebounds per game (49.2) while Utah ranks 24th (42.8).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Oklahoma City is 5-0 and Utah is 5-2.
  • In games where they score more than 100 points, the Thunder are 14-4 and the Jazz are 11-7.
  • Oklahoma City is 7-5 ATS at home, while Utah is 8-8 ATS on the road.
  • In 16 road games, the Jazz have 8 overs and 8 unders.
  • The Thunder have 7 overs and 5 unders in 12 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Jazz are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Thunder are 3-2.
  • In their last five games, Utah has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Oklahoma City has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Jazz have outscored opponents by an average of 10.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Utah has been defeated by an average of 0.3 points.
  • During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 112.0 points per game (0.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 100.2 points per game (4.2 below their season average).