Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers Free Pick


Mitchell Marner, Morgan Rielly, and the Toronto Maple Leafs will do battle against Jonathan Huberdeau, Mike Hoffman, and the Florida Panthers at the BB&T Center in a divisional matchup. This one gets started at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 15 and it’ll air live on CBC Sports.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers Odds

Florida (+125) is playing the role of underdog to Toronto (-145) and the Over/Under (O/U) has been placed at 7 goals (-135 to bet the over, +115 for the under).

Toronto is 21-11 straight up (SU) and has netted 3.9 units for moneyline bettors this season. Through 32 regular season contests, 15 of its games have gone under the total, while 14 have gone over and just three have pushed. As the away team in 2018-19, the Leafs are 12-5 SU.

Toronto has converted on 23.5 percent of its power play chances this season, a figure that’s good enough for ninth-best in the league. Its penalty kill is ranked 16th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 80.5 percent of its penalties..

With a .925 save percentage and 30.2 saves per game, Frederik Andersen (17-9) has been the best option in goal for Toronto this season. If it decides to give him a rest, however, Toronto may turn to Garret Sparks (4-3-1), who has a .913 save percentage and 2.84 goals against average this year.

On the other side of the ice, Florida is 11-19 straight up (SU) and has lost 13.7 units for moneyline bettors this year. 15 of its matches have gone over the total, while 12 have gone under and just three have pushed. This season, the team’s 6-9 SU at home.

The Panthers have converted on 26.7 percent of their power play chances this season, a mark that places it in the top-10 among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 19th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 78.0 percent of all opponent power plays.

James Reimer has stopped 23.5 shots per game as the top selection in goal for the Panthers. Reimer has six wins, 12 losses, and three overtime losses to his name and has registered a poor .889 save percentage and 3.47 goals against average this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers Betting Picks

Free NHL Pick: SU Winner \u2013 Panthers, O/U \u2013 Under

Betting Notes

  • Eight of Toronto’s last ten games have been decided by two goals or more. The team is 5-3 in those games.
  • The Panthers are 8-13 in games where they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 5-15 when they’re in the penalty box for fewer than 10 minutes, total.
  • Toronto might hold the upper hand if this one comes down to the wire. The team’s 5-2 in games decided by one goal, while Florida is only 5-11 in such games.
  • For both of these teams, the over has hit in three of their last five matchups.
  • Toronto is ranked 24th this season with 11.8 giveaways per game. That figure’s trended lower lately, however, as the team’s averaged 10.7 giveaways over its last 10 games and 9.8 giveaways over its last five.
  • Florida skaters have averaged 18.8 giveaways over its last five home games, a rise over its season average of 13.5 giveaways per game (ranked 30th).