Sam Houston State Bearkats vs. UTSA Roadrunners Betting Prediction

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The Sam Houston State Bearkats (20-14), 4-point underdogs, meet the UTSA Roadrunners (20-14) in the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament at UTSA Convocation Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 147.5 points and action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 22, 2018.

Sam Houston State Bearkats vs. UTSA Roadrunners Betting Odds

Both teams beat their last opponent. The Roadrunners defeated the Lamar Cardinals 76-69, while the Bearkats beat the Eastern Michigan Eagles 69-62.

Sam Houston State dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.156 (matching their season average) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 31.6 (below their season average of 33.1). Eastern Michigan was 0.067 and 23.3, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, UTSA played a nearly perfect game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.291 (above their season average of 0.199) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.545 (above their season average of 0.515). Lamar was 0.134 and 0.448, respectively, for those same stats. UTSA rallied around Deon Lyle, who contributed 16 points and eight rebounds. Josh Delaney was a key piece for Sam Houston State with 19 points.

It will be a showdown of conflicting styles as the up-tempo Roadrunners will look to push the more methodical Bearkats. The Roadrunners currently rank 27th in possessions per game while the Bearkats are 242nd. Additionally, the Bearkats rank 58th in offensive rebounding percentage (33.0 percent), while the Roadrunners rank 49th in defensive rebounding percentage (74.6 percent).

Byron Frohnen has really been playing well as of late for UTSA, averaging 11.4 points, 10.8 rebounds, 3.2 assists and 1.8 steals over the last five games.

Sam Houston State Bearkats at UTSA Roadrunners Odds Pick

Basketball Tip: SU Winner – UTSA, ATS Winner – Sam Houston State, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • UTSA averages 28.0 three pointers per game, which ranks 14th in the NCAA. Sam Houston State ranks 224th in three pointers allowed per game (23.4).
  • The Bearkats are 27th in the nation with 5.1 steals allowed per game while the Roadrunners are 38th with 5.2 steals allowed per game.
  • Sam Houston State ranks 94th in assists per game (14.6) while UTSA ranks 99th in assists allowed per game (12.6).
  • The Bearkats rank 77th in rebounds per game (37.6) while the Roadrunners rank 275th in rebounds allowed per game (38.1).
  • UTSA ranks 196th in blocks per game (2.7) while Sam Houston State ranks 256th (1.7).
Bettings Trends:
  • The Roadrunners’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.4, down from 3.5 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Bearkats have scored an average of 71.2 points per game (0.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 73.4 points per game (5.5 above their season average).