Portland Trail Blazers vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Prediction

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The Memphis Grizzlies (15-11) welcome the Portland Trail Blazers (15-12) to FedExForum. The Trail Blazers are 3-point underdogs and will attempt to snap a five-game road losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 205.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 12, 2018.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds

Both teams failed to cover as underdogs in their last outing. The Trail Blazers (3.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Houston Rockets, 111-103, while the Grizzlies (3.5-point underdogs) fell to the Denver Nuggets, 105-99. The Portland game finished 6.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5, while the Memphis game went 7 points over the projected point total of 197.

Portland had a better offensive rebounding percentage (30.2 vs. 27.9) while Memphis had a better effective field goal percentage (0.561 vs. 0.565). Memphis received a boost from Mike Conley, who contributed 19 points and six assists. Damian Lillard, meanwhile had a solid performance for Portland, putting up 34 points.

This series was highly contested last year, as the teams split their four games last season. In the last game, the Trail Blazers won 113-98. Portland made good use of their 25 trips to the free throw line, making 23 of them (92.0 percent). Memphis, meanwhile, was 9-12 (75.0 percent). This is the first time these teams will meet this year.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Trail Blazers games, with 14 overs compared to 12 unders. Portland heads into the game with records of 15-12 straight up (SU) and 13-13 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas is known to place the total high when the Grizzlies are involved, as 15 of their 26 games have finished under the total. Moreover, Memphis owns records of 15-11 SU and 15-11 ATS.

Portland may struggle to create turnovers. Memphis ranks seventh in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.1 percent), while Portland forces the first-fewest turnovers (11.5 percent).

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Memphis Grizzlies Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Grizzlies rank 3 in points allowed in the paint per game (43.38461538461539) while the Trail Blazers rank 11 (47.25925925925926).
  • Portland ranks second in rebounds per game (49.3) while Memphis ranks 29th (39.5).
  • The Trail Blazers rank eighth in second chance points per game (14.5) while the Grizzlies rank last (9.4).
  • Memphis ranks fourth in blocks per game (6.0) while Portland ranks 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.7).
  • Memphis ranks 19 in assists per game (23.423076923076923) while Portland ranks 28 (20.88888888888889).
  • The Grizzlies rank fourth in points off turnovers per game (19.3) while the Trail Blazers rank last (13.3).
  • The Trail Blazers rank 16 in three pointers attempted per game (31.333333333333332) while the Grizzlies rank 26 (27.576923076923077).
  • Portland ranks 17 in fast break points allowed per game (13.88888888888889) while Memphis ranks 25 (15.5).
  • Memphis ranks fifth in steals per game (9.0) while Portland ranks 27th (6.3).
  • Portland is 5-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Memphis is 7-2.
  • The Trail Blazers are 15-10 when they reach 100 points, while the Grizzlies are 11-4.
  • Portland is 4-8 ATS on the road, while Memphis is 8-4 ATS at home.
  • The Trail Blazers have 8 overs and 4 unders in 12 road games.
  • The Grizzlies have 7 unders and 5 overs in 12 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Portland and Memphis are both 2-3 ATS.
  • The Trail Blazers have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Grizzlies have 4 unders and 1 over
  • During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 108.8 points per game (3.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.8 points per game (1.6 below their season average).
  • The Grizzlies have been outscored by an average of 4.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Memphis has defeated opponents by an average of 0.5 points.