The Portland Trail Blazers (19-15), 9-point underdogs, will travel to ORACLE Arena to meet the Golden State Warriors (23-12). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 228 points and it will air on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 27, 2018.
Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors ATS Odds
Both teams were blown out in their last contest. The Trail Blazers (7-point underdogs) were defeated by the Utah Jazz, 117-96, while the Warriors (9-point favorites) fell to the Los Angeles Lakers, 127-101. The Portland game finished 1.5 points under the projected point total of 214.5, while the Golden State game finished 5.5 points under the projected point total of 233.5.
Portland forced Utah into a turnover percentage of 15.4 (above the 10.7 mark opponents have averaged against Portland this season) while Golden State had a better turnover percentage (11.3 vs. 11.0). Golden State’s Kevin Durant played well, finishing with 21 points, seven rebounds and seven assists. Damian Lillard played a key role for Portland with 20 points and five rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Durant led the Warriors to a 125-97 win. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 32 points. The two teams combined to score 222 points, which was just over the projected point total of 218.5, and Golden State covered as a 1-point favorite. Golden State was lights out from beyond the arc (17-32; 53.1 percent). Portland, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (24.5 vs. 18.2).
There does not appear to be a trend for Trail Blazers games in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Portland holds records of 19-15 straight up (SU) and 16-18 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Warriors’ 35 games, 18 have finished over the projected point total. Golden State has a respectable 23-12 SU record, but they are just 14-21 ATS.
Golden State figures to have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Warriors rank first in offensive efficiency, while Portland ranks 20th in defensive efficiency.
Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Trail Blazers rank 21 in points in the paint per game (46.1764705882353) while the Warriors rank 29 (40.114285714285714).
- Golden State ranks first in assists per game (27.6) while Portland ranks 28th (21.1).
- The Trail Blazers rank eighth in second chance points per game (14.3) while the Warriors rank 25th (11.8).
- Golden State ranks fifth in fast break points per game (17.0) while Portland ranks 22nd (10.9).
- Portland ranks 3 in rebounds per game (47.85294117647059) while Golden State ranks 12 (45.74285714285714).
- The Warriors rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while the Trail Blazers rank 26th (5.8).
- The Trail Blazers rank 10 in three pointers allowed per game (29.941176470588236) while the Warriors rank 26 (33.6).
- Golden State ranks 21 in steals per game (7.2) while Portland ranks 28 (6.617647058823529).
- Portland ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.7) while Golden State ranks 23rd (18.0).
- Portland is 6-1 when they allow less than 100 points, while Golden State is 4-0.
- In games where they reach the century mark, the Warriors are 23-7 and the Trail Blazers are 18-10.
- Portland is 5-11 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 8-11 ATS at home.
- In 16 road games, the Trail Blazers have 9 overs and 7 unders.
- In 19 home games, the Warriors have 11 unders and 8 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Portland and Golden State have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Trail Blazers are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 1-4.
- The Trail Blazers have been outscored by an average of 7.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Portland has defeated opponents by an average of 0.1 points.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 112.6 points per game (3.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 114.2 points per game (2.7 above their season average).
