Phoenix Suns at San Antonio Spurs ATS Prediction


The Phoenix Suns (4-23) travel to AT&T Center to challenge the San Antonio Spurs (13-14). The Suns are 11.5-point underdogs and look to put an end to their nine-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 217 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Arizona at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 11, 2018.

Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last game. The Spurs (4-point underdogs) defeated the Utah Jazz, 110-97, while the Suns (8.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Los Angeles Clippers, 123-119. The San Antonio game finished 12 points under the projected point total of 219, while the Phoenix game went 31.5 points over the projected point total of 210.5.

San Antonio dominated nearly every stat category in the contest. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.6 (above their season average of 22.9) and a turnover percentage of 10.4 (better than their season average of 10.9). For those same stats, Utah was 20.0 and 13.0, respectively. Phoenix, meanwhile, forced Los Angeles into a turnover percentage of 15.3 (above their season average of 11.9). Rudy Gay had a good outing for San Antonio with 23 points and 15 rebounds. Deandre Ayton had a good outing for Phoenix, contributing 20 points and 12 rebounds.

The Suns had the upper hand in the most recent game, a 116-96 blowout win, to even the season series at one. T.J. Warren was the game’s top overall scorer with 27 points. Phoenix’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over San Antonio. The Suns had a rate of 0.649 while the Spurs posted a mark of 0.464. The two teams combined to put up 212 points, which was just under the projected point total of 213, and Phoenix covered as a 6-point underdog.

Vegas tends to set the total high when the Suns are involved, as 57.7 percent of their contests have ended under the total. Phoenix comes into the game with records of 4-23 straight up (SU) and 8-18 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Phoenix, games featuring the Spurs have a tendency to go over the total (63.0 percent). Additionally, San Antonio is 13-14 SU and 13-13-1 ATS.

San Antonio figures to have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Spurs currently rank eighth in offensive efficiency, while Phoenix ranks 29th in defensive efficiency. Furthermore, the Suns rank 27th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.172), while the Spurs rank second in opponents’ FTA rate (0.166).

Suns vs. Spurs ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Spurs rank 18 in second chance points per game (13) while the Suns rank 28 (10.11111111111111).
  • Phoenix ranks 10th in steals per game (8.3) while San Antonio ranks 29th (5.9).
  • The Suns rank 16th in fast break points per game (12.4) while the Spurs rank 29th (8.6).
  • San Antonio ranks 16th in assists per game (23.8) while Phoenix ranks 29th in assists allowed per game (25.7).
  • San Antonio ranks 17 in rebounds per game (44.2962962962963) while Phoenix ranks 28 (40.03703703703704).
  • The Spurs rank 11th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.3) while the Suns rank 27th (21.1).
  • The Spurs rank 18 in points allowed in the paint per game (49.48148148148148) while the Suns rank last (53.333333333333336).
  • San Antonio ranks 3 in blocks allowed per game (4.481481481481482) while Phoenix ranks 9 (4.7407407407407405).
  • Phoenix ranks fourth in three pointers allowed per game (28.3) while San Antonio ranks 17th (31.6).
  • San Antonio is 5-1 when they allow under 100 points, while Phoenix is 1-1.
  • The Suns are 4-12 when they score more than 100 points, while the Spurs are 12-9.
  • San Antonio is 8-5 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 3-10 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 8 of the Spurs’ 13 home games, while 7 of the Suns’ 13 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Spurs are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 0-5.
  • In their last five games, San Antonio has 4 overs and 1 under, while Phoenix has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Spurs\u2019 average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.6, down from 3.0 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 100.8 points per game (2.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 117.6 points per game (3.4 above their season average).