Phoenix Suns at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Prediction 10/27/18

betdsiBasketball, NBA, Uncategorized

The Phoenix Suns (1-3) will travel to FedExForum to square off with the Memphis Grizzlies (2-2). The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, October 27, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Southeast.

Phoenix Suns vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds

Both teams lost in their last contest. The Suns (5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Los Angeles Lakers, 131-113, while the Grizzlies (3-point favorites) fell to the Sacramento Kings, 97-92. The Phoenix game finished 5.5 points over the projected point total of 238.5, while the Memphis game finished 31.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5.

Phoenix did a great job of converting from the free throw line (15-21; 71.4 percent) while Memphis had a better turnover percentage (13.1 vs. 12.6). Memphis was led by Mike Conley, who had 27 points, six rebounds and five assists. Deandre Ayton played a pivotal role for Phoenix with 22 points and 11 rebounds.

The physical Memphis offense seems poised to dominate from the charity stripe. Since last season, the Grizzlies rank ninth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.203, while Phoenix ranks 25th in FTA rate allowed (0.212). It will also be a tale of two tempos as the up-and-down Suns rank third in possessions per game, while the more methodical Grizzlies rank 29th.

The Suns are 22-64 straight up (SU) and 41-43-2 against the spread (ATS) since last season. Since last season, Phoenix games have had a tendency to go over the projected point total (58.1 percent).

Meanwhile, the Grizzlies, have records of 24-62 SU and 45-47 ATS since last season. Vegas has also been exceedingly accurate when predicting totals of Memphis games over that same period with an even split between overs and unders.

The Suns held the advantage in this series last year, winning three out of four games. In the most recent game, Phoenix won 110-102. One of Phoenix’s largest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They had 38 free throw attempts, while Memphis had 28.

Phoenix Suns at Memphis Grizzlies Betting Pick

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Over

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • The Grizzlies are 26th in the NBA with 21.5 assists per game while the Suns are 27th with 21.5 assists per game.

  • Memphis ranks seventh in points off turnovers per game (17.1) while Phoenix ranks last in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.8).

  • The Suns average 14.2 fast break points per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Grizzlies rank 25th in fast break points allowed per game (14.5).

  • Memphis averages 7.6 steals per game, which ranks 15th in the league. Phoenix ranks last in steals allowed per game (8.8).

  • Memphis ranks 20th in second chance points per game (11.7) while Phoenix ranks 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (13.2).

  • The Grizzlies rank fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (42.5) while the Suns rank 26th (47.6).

  • The Grizzlies average 4.8 blocks per game, which ranks 16th in the league. The Suns rank 29th in blocks allowed per game (5.9).

  • Phoenix ranks 11th in rebounds per game (44.1) while Memphis ranks last (40.5).

  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Phoenix is 8-2 and Memphis is 14-13.

  • When scoring above 100 points, the Grizzlies are 18-23 and the Suns are 17-38.