The Phoenix Suns (9-29) will be at home in Talking Stick Resort Arena when they square off against the Philadelphia 76ers (24-14). Action starts at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 2, 2019.
Philadelphia 76ers at Phoenix Suns ATS Odds
The 76ers defeated the Los Angeles Clippers in their last matchup, 119-113, despite being 2.5-point underdogs. The Suns, meanwhile, were thoroughly outplayed by the Golden State Warriors, 132-109, and were unable to cover as 10-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Philadelphia game finished 7.5 points over the projected point total of 224.5, while the Phoenix game finished 10 points over the projected point total of 231.
Philadelphia played a nearly perfect game. They had an extraordinary offensive rebounding percentage of 37.0 (above their season average of 23.0) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.552 (above their season average of 0.528). For those same stats, Los Angeles was 24.0 and 0.489, respectively. Phoenix, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (11.7 vs. 13.3). Phoenix received a boost from Deandre Ayton, who recorded 25 points and 10 rebounds. Joel Embiid, meanwhile played well for Philadelphia, putting up 28 points and 19 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Embiid led the 76ers to a 119-114 victory. He registered a double-double with 33 points and 17 rebounds. Philadelphia was unable to cover as an 11-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 233 points, which was over the projected point total of 219.5. Philadelphia out-rebounded Phoenix. The 76ers had more offensive rebounds (13 vs. five), defensive rebounds (40 vs. 26) and total rebounds (53 vs. 31).
Of the 76ers’ 37 games with betting action, 21 have gone over the total. Philadelphia holds records of 24-14 straight up (SU) and 17-20 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Philadelphia, Suns games have typically finished under the total (55.3 percent). Moreover, Phoenix owns records of 9-29 SU and 17-21 ATS.
Ayton has really been playing well recently for Phoenix, averaging 22 points,14.0 rebounds,2.0 steals,1.4 blocks over the last five games.
Second-chance opportunities could be rare for Phoenix in this contest. The Suns currently rank 27th in offensive rebounding percentage (20.3 percent), while Philadelphia ranks fourth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.9 percent). Also, the 76ers’ fourth-ranked defense (opponents’ effective field goal percentage of 0.503) will square off against the Suns’ 21st-ranked offense (effective field goal percentage of 0.514).
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Phoenix Suns ATS Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The 76ers rank 3 in blocks allowed per game (4.2105263157894735) while the Suns rank 7 (4.7105263157894735).
- Philadelphia ranks fifth in rebounds per game (47.6) while Phoenix ranks 28th (41.0).
- The 76ers rank 10th in fast break points per game (15.0) while the Suns rank 29th in fast break points allowed per game (16.2).
- Philadelphia ranks 11th in steals allowed per game (7.7) while Phoenix ranks 26th (9.2).
- Philadelphia ranks 19 in points in the paint per game (46.68421052631579) while Phoenix ranks 28 in points allowed in the paint per game (52.89473684210526).
- The 76ers rank third in assists allowed per game (22.1) while the Suns rank 25th (25.6).
- The 76ers rank 15 in second chance points per game (13.18421052631579) while the Suns rank 25 (11.210526315789474).
- Phoenix ranks ninth in points off turnovers per game (17.6) while Philadelphia ranks 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.1).
- In games where they allow less than 100 points, Phoenix is 3-1 and Philadelphia is 7-0.
- The 76ers are 24-10 when they reach 100 points, while the Suns are 8-17.
- Philadelphia is 6-12 ATS on the road, while Phoenix is 9-10 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 11 of the Suns’ 19 home games, while 10 of the 76ers’ 18 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Philadelphia and Phoenix are both 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.4, down from 2.1 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 110.8 points per game (5.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 120.6 points per game (6.2 above their season average).
