A nine-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Dallas Mavericks (13-11), who will be 5.5-point favorites when they welcome the Orlando Magic (12-14) to American Airlines Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 211.5 points and it can be seen on Fox SportsNet Florida at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, December 10, 2018.
Orlando Magic at Dallas Mavericks Betting Odds
In the Mavericks’ last outing, they barely escaped the Houston Rockets, 107-104, despite being 3.5-point underdogs. The Magic, on the other hand, were blown out by the Indiana Pacers, 112-90, and failed to cover as 4-point underdogs. The Dallas game finished 8 points under the projected point total of 219, while the Orlando game went 4 points under the projected point total of 206.
Dallas played a nearly perfect game. They had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 35.0 (above their season average of 23.7) and a free throw rate of 0.157 (below their season average of 0.227). Houston recorded marks of 25.0 and 0.128, respectively, for those same stats. Orlando, on the other hand, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.449 vs. 0.522). DeAndre Jordan had a solid performance for Dallas, contributing 12 points and 20 rebounds. Aaron Gordon, meanwhile fueled Orlando with 20 points and 14 rebounds.
This was a highly competitive series last year, as the teams split their two games last season. In the last game, the Magic won 105-100. Getting to the free throw line was one of Orlando’s biggest strengths. They had 27 free throw attempts, while Dallas had 17. This will be the first meeting of the year between these two teams.
Matchups involving the Magic have a tendency to go under the total (61.5 percent). Orlando comes into the game with records of 12-14 straight up (SU) and 15-10-1 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Orlando, Mavericks games have a slight tendency to finish over the total (54.2 percent). Moreover, Dallas is 13-11 SU and 16-8 ATS.
Terrence Ross has been playing at a high level as of late for Orlando, averaging 19 points,1.2 steals over the last five games.
Second-chance opportunities could be few and far between for Orlando in this battle. The Magic rank 27th in offensive rebounding percentage (19.8 percent), while Dallas ranks seventh in defensive rebounding percentage (78.7 percent).
Orlando Magic at Dallas Mavericks Odds Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Orlando ranks third in steals allowed per game (6.7) while Dallas ranks 27th (9.1).
- The Magic rank sixth in assists per game (26.0) while the Mavericks rank 19th in assists allowed per game (24.2).
- Dallas ranks 17th in points in the paint per game (46.8) while Orlando ranks 26th (42.9).
- Orlando ranks 12 in three pointers attempted per game (31.96153846153846) while Dallas ranks 13 in three pointers allowed per game (31.083333333333332).
- The Mavericks rank third in rebounds allowed per game (42.1) while the Magic rank 23rd (46.4).
- The Mavericks rank 5 in second chance points allowed per game (11.583333333333334) while the Magic rank 13 (13.038461538461538).
- Orlando ranks 10th in fast break points allowed per game (12.5) while Dallas ranks 28th (15.9).
- Orlando is 4-1 when they allow below 100 points, while Dallas is 3-1.
- The Mavericks are 13-10 when they reach 100 points, while the Magic are 10-6.
- Dallas is 11-2 ATS at home, while Orlando is 9-2-1 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 7 of the Mavericks’ 13 home games, while 7 of the Magic’s 12 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Orlando and Dallas are both 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 104.8 points per game (0.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 105.2 points per game (3.0 below their season average).
- The Mavericks have been outscored by an average of 4.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Dallas has defeated opponents by an average of 1.1 points.
