New York Knicks vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Prediction 12/27/18

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The league’s top scoring team will be 14-point favorites at home in Fiserv Forum, when the Milwaukee Bucks (23-10) clash against the New York Knicks (9-26). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 224 points and it will air on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 27, 2018.

New York Knicks at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds

The Bucks lead the season series two games to one. In their most recent game, the two teams combined for 204 points, well under the projected point total of 226. Milwaukee won 109-95, covering as 10-point favorites. The Bucks’ 7.1 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Knicks, who had a mark of 11.6. Antetokounmpo recorded a double-double with 30 points and 14 rebounds.

Just over half of the Knicks’ games have finished over the O/U total. New York heads into the contest with records of 9-26 straight up (SU) and 16-18-1 against the spread (ATS).

Games involving the Bucks also have a slight tendency to finish over the total (51.5 percent). Additionally, Milwaukee owns records of 23-10 SU and 17-15-1 ATS.

Emmanuel Mudiay and Kevin Knox have been playing well over the last five games for New York. Mudiay has averaged 25 points,5.8 assists per game, while Knox has recorded 19 points a game during that span.

The prolific offense of Milwaukee (fifth in the league with an offensive efficiency of 111.0) will battle against the porous defense of New York (29th in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 112.1). The Bucks should have the advantage on that end of the court.

Knicks vs. Bucks Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank 2 in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.363636363636363) while the Knicks rank 18 (17.285714285714285).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (40.8) while New York ranks 28th (52.5).
  • The Bucks rank fifth in assists per game (26.2) while the Knicks rank 29th (19.8).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (39.5) while New York ranks 22nd (29.5).
  • Milwaukee ranks 8 in fast break points per game (15.454545454545455) while New York ranks 25 (10.342857142857143).
  • The Bucks average 50.0 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the league. The Knicks rank 27th in rebounds allowed per game (46.7).
  • The Knicks rank 7 in second chance points per game (14.457142857142857) while the Bucks rank 27 (11.636363636363637).
  • Milwaukee ranks 4 in steals allowed per game (7.03030303030303) while New York ranks 8 (7.371428571428571).
  • Milwaukee ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.5) while New York ranks 29th (6.2).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Milwaukee is 7-1 and New York is 2-0.
  • The Bucks are 23-7 when they reach 100 points, while the Knicks are 9-20.
  • New York is 10-9 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 10-7 ATS at home.
  • In 19 road games, the Knicks have 12 overs and 7 unders.
  • Of the Bucks’ 17 home games, they have 10 overs and 7 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, New York and Milwaukee have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Bucks are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Knicks are 1-4.
  • During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 109.2 points per game (7.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.0 points per game (5.1 below their season average).
  • The Knicks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 14.4, up from 7.5 for the season.