Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Sacramento Kings Free Prediction


The Minnesota Timberwolves (13-14), 2-point favorites, will travel to the Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings (14-12). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 228 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – North at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 12, 2018.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last contest. The Kings (2-point favorites) defeated the Chicago Bulls, 108-89, while the Timberwolves (9.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Golden State Warriors, 116-108. The Sacramento game finished 29 points under the projected point total of 226, while the Minnesota game finished 5 points under the projected point total of 229.

Sacramento played a nearly perfect contest. They had a turnover percentage of 14.5 (worse than their season average of 12.2) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.3 (above their season average of 22.4). For those same stats, Chicago was 24.8 and 17.9, respectively. Minnesota, on the other hand, did an excellent job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (25-31; 80.6 percent). Willie Cauley-Stein had a good outing for Sacramento, recording 11 points and 16 rebounds. Karl-Anthony Towns played a key role for Minnesota with 31 points and 11 rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, De’Aaron Fox led the Kings to a 121-110 win. He notched a double-double with 16 points and 10 assists. The two teams combined for 231 points, which was just under the projected point total of 233.5, and Sacramento covered as a 2.5-point underdog. The Kings’ 10.0 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Timberwolves, who had a mark of 13.6.

Of the Timberwolves’ 27 games, 18 have gone under the O/U total. Minnesota comes into the contest with records of 13-14 straight up (SU) and 15-12 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Minnesota, games featuring the Kings tend to finish over the projected point total (61.5 percent). Moreover, Sacramento owns records of 14-12 SU and 16-10 ATS.

The Timberwolves’ Andrew Wiggins has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 18 points per game. Meanwhile, Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 17 points,4.8 assists,1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Kings.

This game should be a battle of contrasting paces. Sacramento has preferred an up-and-down style of play (sixth in possessions per game), while Minnesota has been more methodical (17th in possessions per game).

Minnesota Timberwolves at Sacramento Kings Odds Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Timberwolves, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Timberwolves average 43.925925925925924 rebounds per game, which ranks 18 in the NBA. The Kings rank 26 in rebounds allowed per game (47.15384615384615).
  • Minnesota ranks first in steals allowed per game (6.7) while Sacramento ranks 22nd (8.2).
  • The Kings rank first in points off turnovers per game (21.7) while the Timberwolves rank 16th (17.0).
  • Sacramento averages 25.2 assists per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. Minnesota ranks 24th in assists allowed per game (25.3).
  • Minnesota ranks 7 in blocks per game (5.7407407407407405) while Sacramento ranks 18 in blocks allowed per game (5.230769230769231).
  • The Timberwolves rank seventh in points allowed in the paint per game (45.6) while the Kings rank 28th (52.0).
  • The Kings rank 1 in fast break points per game (21.423076923076923) while the Timberwolves rank 13 (14).
  • Minnesota averages 28.77777777777778 three pointers per game, which ranks 24 in the league. Sacramento ranks 28 in three pointers allowed per game (34.61538461538461).
  • Minnesota ranks seventh in second chance points per game (15.0) while Sacramento ranks 24th in second chance points allowed per game (14.3).
  • In games where they allow under 100 points, Sacramento is 4-0 and Minnesota is 6-0.
  • When scoring over 100 points, the Timberwolves and Kings are both 13-10.
  • Sacramento is 7-4 ATS at home, while Minnesota is 5-7 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 7 of the Kings’ 11 home games, while 10 of the Timberwolves’ 12 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Minnesota and Sacramento have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Kings are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Timberwolves are 3-2.
  • The Kings have outscored opponents by an average of 9.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Sacramento has been defeated by an average of 0.7 points.
  • During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 109.2 points per game (0.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.4 points per game (1.5 below their season average).