Miami (FL) Hurricanes at Wisconsin Badgers – 12/27/2018 Free Betting Pick

Posts AdminUncategorized

Miami (FL) Hurricanes (-4) are entering the New Era Pinstripe Bowl as favorites against the Wisconsin Badgers. The matchup kicks off at 5:15 p.m. ET and ESPN is in line to broadcast the action.

Betting Preview: Miami (FL) Hurricanes at Wisconsin Badgers

In this Thursday game, Miami (FL) is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 4 points. The Hurricanes are also receiving -185 moneyline odds while the Badgers are +165. This tilt should provide several decent in-game betting opportunities, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 47 points.

The Hurricanes are down 6.0 units so far and 5-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U record of 5-7.

The Badgers have lost 5.0 units this season. The team is 3-9 ATS and owns an even O/U record of 6-6.

The Hurricanes are 7-5 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Badgers are also 7-5 SU.

The Hurricanes are coming off a resounding 24-3 victory over Pittsburgh on November 24. The passing attack was messy as N’Kosi Perry completed only six passes on 24 attempts for 52 yards. DeeJay Dallas (39 yards on eight rushes, one TD) led the ground attack while Mike Harley (two receptions, 18 yards) and Travis Homer (one catch, 11 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Wisconsin just lost convincingly 37-15 to Minnesota. The defense let the Golden Gophers eat up the clock by running for 201 yards on 47 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. Mohamed Ibrahim put up a good showing in the win for Minnesota, recording 121 rushing yards and a score on 26 attempts. For Wisconsin, Alex Hornibrook completed 22-of-33 passes for 189 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Jonathan Taylor (120 rushing yards on 19 attempts) handled the running game while Danny Davis III (10 receptions, 93 yards, one TD) and Jake Ferguson (five catches, 46 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Miami (FL) has run the ball on 57.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Wisconsin has an overall rush percentage of 63.6 percent. The Hurricanes have rushed for 197.3 yards/game and have 25 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Badgers are totaling 268.4 rushing yards per game and have 28 total rush TDs.

The Hurricanes offensive scheme has logged 177.3 yards/game in the air overall and has 19 passing TDs so far. The Badgers have produced 164.8 pass yards per outing and have 18 total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, Miami (FL) appears to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 127.5 rush yards and 140.8 pass yards per game. The Wisconsin defense has allowed 200.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 157.9 yards per game to opposing runners. The Hurricanes are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 2.85 to opponents, while the Badgers have allowed a 5.83 ANY/A.

Hornibrook has managed to complete 122-of-205 passes for 1,532 yards, 13 TDs and 11 INTs for Wisconsin. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 5.54 for the season and 2.51 across his past two games. In the other locker room, Perry has put up 918 passing yards this year. He’s completed 75-of-152 attempts with 11 passing touchdowns and five interceptions. Perry has a 5.03 ANY/A, including 3.98 over the last two games.

When these two squads met a year ago, Wisconsin earned the win 34-24.

Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs. Wisconsin Badgers NCAA Prediction

SU Winner: Miami (FL), ATS Winner: Miami (FL), O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • The O/U for Miami (FL)’s last game was set at 45.5. The under cashed in the team’s 24-3 win over Pittsburgh.
  • Miami (FL) has produced 6.3 yards per carry over its past three outings and 7.2 over its last two.
  • Wisconsin has averaged 6.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 6.8 over its last two.
  • The Wisconsin offense has lost 10 fumbles this season while Miami (FL) has let 11 get away.
  • Over its last three contests, Miami (FL) is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
  • The O/U for Wisconsin’s last outing was set at 52.5. The under cashed in the 37-15 defeat to Minnesota.
  • In its last three games, Wisconsin is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Hurricanes offense has created six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Badgers have accounted for two such plays.
  • The Miami (FL) defense has allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards, while Wisconsin has given up seven such plays.
  • The Miami (FL) offense has created 24 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Wisconsin has created 30 such runs.
  • The Hurricanes defense has allowed 18 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Badgers have given up 15 such runs.
  • The Miami (FL) defensive unit has more than twice as many sacks as Wisconsin this year (37 to 18).