Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Free Prediction


The Memphis Grizzlies (16-13) will travel to ORACLE Arena to square off against the Golden State Warriors (20-10). The Warriors opened as 11.5-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 209.5 points and it will air on NBATV at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, December 17, 2018.

Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors Betting Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last contest. The Warriors (7.5-point favorites) beat the Sacramento Kings, 130-125, while the Grizzlies (4.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Houston Rockets, 105-97. The Golden State game went 19 points over the projected point total of 236, while the Memphis game hit the projected point total of 202.

The Warriors, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.0, had a solid mark of 30.0 and had a free throw rate of 0.281 (above their season average of 0.200). Memphis, on the other hand, had an effective field goal percentage of 0.567 (above their season average of 0.512). Stephen Curry had a solid performance for Golden State, recording 35 points, seven rebounds and six assists. Mike Conley played a key role for Memphis with 22 points and six assists.

In their first matchup this season, Kevin Durant led the Warriors to a 117-101 win. He recorded 22 points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists. The two teams combined to score 218 points, which was just under the projected point total of 221.5, and Golden State covered as a 14-point favorite. The Warriors’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Grizzlies. Golden State had a rate of 23.5, while Memphis posted a mark of 9.5.

Vegas tends to place the total high when the Grizzlies are involved, as 55.2 percent of their games have finished under the projected point total. Memphis holds records of 16-13 straight up (SU) and 16-13 against the spread (ATS).

In opposition of Memphis, just over half of Warriors games have finished over the total. Golden State has a respectable 20-10 SU record, but they have a hard time covering the spread (13-17 ATS).

This could end up being a mistake-prone game for the Golden State offense. Golden State ranks 23rd in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.5 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Memphis forces the second-most turnovers in the league (16.1 percent).

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Grizzlies rank 11 in three pointers allowed per game (30.137931034482758) while the Warriors rank 25 (33.8).
  • Memphis ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.2) while Golden State ranks 26th (18.6).
  • The Warriors rank fifth in fast break points per game (16.4) while the Grizzlies rank 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (14.8).
  • Memphis ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.6) while Golden State ranks 19th (49.8).
  • Memphis ranks 5 in second chance points allowed per game (11.620689655172415) while Golden State ranks 20 (14).
  • The Warriors rank first in assists per game (28.1) while the Grizzlies rank 20th (23.1).
  • The Warriors rank 13 in rebounds per game (45.8) while the Grizzlies rank 29 (39.51724137931034).
  • Golden State ranks 1 in blocks allowed per game (3.6333333333333333) while Memphis ranks 13 (4.862068965517241).
  • Memphis ranks second in steals allowed per game (6.7) while Golden State ranks 19th (8.1).
  • When holding opponents below 100 points, Golden State is 3-0 and Memphis is 8-2.
  • The Grizzlies are 11-4 when they score over 100 points, while the Warriors are 20-5.
  • Golden State is 7-8 ATS at home, while Memphis is 7-7 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 8 of the Grizzlies’ 14 road games, while 9 of the Warriors’ 15 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Warriors are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Grizzlies are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Golden State has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Memphis has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
  • During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 114.6 points per game (1.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.2 points per game (1.9 below their season average).
  • The Grizzlies have been outscored by an average of 6.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Memphis has defeated opponents by an average of 0.4 points.