Los Angeles Lakers vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Prediction


The Los Angeles Lakers (15-10) will travel to FedExForum to challenge the Memphis Grizzlies (15-9). The Grizzlies opened as 2.5-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 207.5 points and it starts at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 8, 2018.

Los Angeles Lakers at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds

In the Grizzlies’ previous matchup, they were victorious over the New Orleans Pelicans, 107-103, despite being 2-point underdogs. The Lakers, on the other hand, were defeated by the San Antonio Spurs, 133-120, and failed to cover as 8-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Memphis game finished 0.5 points over the projected point total of 209.5, while the Los Angeles game finished 27.5 points over the projected point total of 225.5.

Memphis dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a turnover percentage of 10.3 (better than their season average of 12.1) and a free throw rate of 0.253 (above their season average of 0.214). New Orleans was 16.0 and 0.238, respectively, for those same stats. Los Angeles, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 6.8 (better than their season average of 13.4). Memphis was led by Kyle Anderson, who recorded 19 points and 11 rebounds. Meanwhile, LeBron James fueled Los Angeles with 35 points, 11 assists and eight rebounds.

This series was highly contested last year. Each won two of the four games played against each other last season. In the most recent contest, the Lakers won 100-93. Los Angeles had a better effective field goal percentage (0.483 vs. 0.446). Memphis, on the other hand, did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (18-22; 81.8 percent). This will be the first contest of the year between these two teams.

Lakers games have a tendency to go under the total (62.5 percent). Los Angeles has a solid 15-10 straight up (SU) record, but they have a hard time covering the spread (10-13-1 against the spread (ATS)).

Grizzlies games also have typically gone under the total (56.5 percent). Moreover, Memphis owns records of 15-9 SU and 14-9 ATS.

Kyle Kuzma has been solid as of late for Los Angeles, averaging 18 points,8.2 rebounds,3.8 assists over the last five games.

Memphis should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Memphis ranks fifth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.9 percent), while Los Angeles forces the ninth-fewest turnovers (13.6 percent). Conflicting styles will be on display in this battle. The fast-breaking Lakers rank second in possessions per game, while the slower-paced Grizzlies rank 29th.

Los Angeles Lakers at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Pick

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Lakers rank 18 in three pointers attempted per game (30) while the Grizzlies rank 25 (27.5).
  • Los Angeles averages 20.6 fast break points per game, which ranks second in the league. Memphis ranks 27th in fast break points allowed per game (15.8).
  • The Grizzlies rank first in steals allowed per game (6.4) while the Lakers rank 18th (8.0).
  • Memphis ranks fourth in points off turnovers (19.8 per game) while Los Angeles ranks 20th in points off turnovers allowed (17.8 per game).
  • Los Angeles ranks 14 in second chance points per game (13.28) while Memphis ranks 28 (9.791666666666666).
  • The Grizzlies rank third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.9) while the Lakers rank 24th (50.9).
  • The Grizzlies average 6.041666666666667 blocks per game, which ranks 4 in the NBA. The Lakers rank 19 in blocks allowed per game (5.32).
  • Los Angeles ranks 10th in rebounds per game (46.2) while Memphis ranks last (39.8).
  • When allowing below 100 points, Memphis is 7-2 and Los Angeles is 5-0.
  • The Grizzlies are 11-4 when they reach the century mark, while the Lakers are 14-9.
  • Memphis is 8-3 ATS at home, while Los Angeles is 4-6 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 6 of the Lakers’ 10 road games, while 6 of the Grizzlies’ 11 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Lakers are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Grizzlies are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Los Angeles has 4 unders and 1 over, while Memphis has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Lakers\u2019 average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.6, up from 1.4 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 108.6 points per game (4.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.8 points per game (5.4 above their season average).