Los Angeles Clippers at Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Prediction 03/26/19

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The Los Angeles Clippers (44-30) visit Target Center to clash with the Minnesota Timberwolves (33-40). The Clippers are a 1.5-point favorite and will try to extend their five-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 230.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – North at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 26, 2019.

Los Angeles Clippers at Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last game. The Timberwolves (1-point underdogs) defeated the Memphis Grizzlies 112-99, while the Clippers (8-point favorite) beat the New York Knicks 124-113. The Minnesota game went 6.5 points under the projected point total of 217.5, while the Los Angeles game went 13.5 points over the projected point total of 223.5.

The Clippers had a turnover percentage of 7.3 (better than their season average of 12.0) and had a free throw rate of 0.384 (above their season average of 0.259). The Timberwolves, meanwhile, knocked down 20 of their 21 free throws (95.2 percent) and held the Grizzlies to an effective field goal percentage of 0.427 (below their season average of 0.509). Minnesota was led by Karl-Anthony Towns, who recorded 33 points and 23 rebounds. Meanwhile, Lou Williams was a key piece for Los Angeles with 29 points and seven assists.

The Timberwolves won the most recent matchup 130-120 to even the season series at one. Williams was the top overall scorer in the game with 45 points. Minnesota had a much better turnover percentage (10.2 vs. 19.1). Los Angeles, meanwhile, did a great job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (34-39; 87.2 percent). The two teams combined for 250 points, which was well over the projected point total of 232.5, and Minnesota covered as a 4-point favorite.

Of the Clippers’ 74 games, 39 have finished over the total. Los Angeles holds records of 44-30 straight up (SU) and 42-32 against the spread (ATS).

Much like Los Angeles, just over half of Timberwolves games have finished over the total. Additionally, Minnesota owns records of 33-40 SU and 35-38 ATS.

Minnesota could put on a ball-control clinic in this meeting. Minnesota ranks third in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.3 percent), while Los Angeles forces the fourth-fewest turnovers (12.2 percent).

Los Angeles Clippers at Minnesota Timberwolves Odds Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Timberwolves, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Neither of these teams shoot many threes. The Timberwolves are 25th in the league with 28.6 three pointers per game while the Clippers are 28th with 25.6 threes per game.
  • Minnesota ranks first in steals allowed per game (6.5) while Los Angeles ranks 24th (8.1).
  • The Clippers rank 11th in assists allowed per game (24.0) while the Timberwolves rank 27th (26.0).
  • Minnesota ranks 13th in blocks per game (5.2) while Los Angeles ranks 26th in blocks allowed per game (6.1).
  • Minnesota averages 45.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 15th in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 21st in rebounds allowed per game (45.7).
  • The Timberwolves average 15.6 second chance points per game, which ranks second in the league. The Clippers rank 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (13.9).
  • The Timberwolves rank ninth in points in the paint per game (50.1) while the Clippers rank 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (50.8).
  • Los Angeles averages 13.1 fast break points per game, which ranks 14th in the league. Minnesota ranks 16th in fast break points allowed per game (13.7).
  • Minnesota averages 17.5 points off turnovers per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Los Angeles ranks 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.6).
  • When allowing below 100 points, Los Angeles is 6-1 and Minnesota is 12-0.
  • In games where they score more than 100 points, the Clippers are 44-21 and the Timberwolves are 32-34.
  • Los Angeles is 22-16 ATS on the road, while Minnesota is 19-15 ATS at home.
  • The Clippers have 22 unders and 16 overs in 38 road games.
  • The Timberwolves have 19 overs and 15 unders in 34 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Clippers are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Timberwolves are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Los Angeles has 4 overs and 1 under, while Minnesota has 5 unders.
  • The Clippers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.8, up from 1.2 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 105.4 points per game (7.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 113.2 points per game (0.2 below their season average).