Denver Broncos vs. San Francisco 49ers: Free Week 14 Betting Preview


The Denver Broncos (-6) are set to take on the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium. Kickoff for this showdown is set for 4:05 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to CBS.

Betting Preview: Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers

In this Sunday game, Denver is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 6 points. The Broncos are also receiving -230 moneyline odds while the 49ers are +190. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 43.5 points, and some good live betting possibilities may be unveiled during this match.

The line initially opened at 3.5 while the total was originally 41.5, so early action has leaned toward both the Broncos and the over.

The Broncos are 6-5-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.4 units so far in 2018. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 3-9.

The disappointing 49ers have lost 9.5 units this season. They’re 3-9 ATS and seven of their games have gone over the total.

The Broncos are 6-6 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the 49ers are 2-10 SU.

Denver enters this matchup on a zero-game losing skid while San Francisco has won each of its last zero. The Broncos hope to keep things rolling after a 24-10 win over Cincinnati last week. Case Keenum completed 12-of-21 passes for only 151 yards and one touchdown. Phillip Lindsay (157 rushing yards on 19 attempts, two TDs) and Royce Freeman (48 yards on 12 carries) led the ground attack while Courtland Sutton (four receptions, 85 yards, one TD) and Emmanuel Sanders (four catches, 19 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

San Francisco just fell 43-16 to Seattle in Week 13. The team’s defensive unit let the Seahawks eat up the clock by running for 168 yards on 29 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Chris Carson had a good outing in the win, recording 69 rushing yards on 13 attempts for Seattle. For San Francisco, Nick Mullens completed 30-of-48 passes for 414 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Jeff Wilson Jr. contributed all over the place in the loss. In addition to 61 rushing yards on 15 attempts, Wilson Jr. also reeled in eight receptions for 73 yards.

Denver’s run the ball on 41.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while San Francisco has an overall rush percentage of 45.3 percent. The Broncos have produced 132.5 rush yards per game and have 16 scores on the ground this year. The Niners are averaging 129.2 rush yards per game and have six total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Broncos should have the advantage when it comes to applying pressure, as their offensive line has allowed just 52 sacks while the D-line logged 33 sacks. The 49ers offensive line has given up 43 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs just 30 times.

The Broncos offense has averaged 249.4 yards in the air overall and has 15 passing scores so far. The Niners have produced 259.8 pass yards per contest and have 20 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Denver has allowed opponents to run for an average of 122.1 yards and throw for 281.4 yards per game. The San Francisco defense has allowed 255.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 108.2 yards per game on the ground. The Broncos are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.28 to opposing QBs, while the Niners have allowed a 7.58 ANY/A.

Offensively, Keenum has amassed 2,756 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 63 percent of his 383 attempts with 12 scores through the air and 10 interceptions. He’s got a 5.78 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 7.30 over the past two games.

In the home locker room, Nick Mullens has completed 73-of-109 passes for 926 yards, six TDs and three INTs. Mullens’ ANY/A stands at 7.88 for the season and 5.80 over his past two games.

Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers NFL Pick

SU Winner: Broncos, ATS Winner: 49ers, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • As a team, Denver has produced 5.9 yards per carry over its last three games and 6.0 over its last two.
  • San Francisco has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.6 over its past two.
  • The San Francisco offense has lost 10 fumbles this season while Denver has let three get away.
  • San Francisco has lost 10 of its last 11 games SU, with a 31-point win over Oakland on November 1st accounting for the lone victory over that stretch.
  • Each team has produced eight pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Broncos have have made 18 pass plays of 30+ yards while the 49ers have accounted for 16 such plays.
  • The Denver defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 yards or more, while San Francisco has given up eight such plays.
  • The Denver offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while San Francisco has created 13 such runs.
  • The Broncos defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the 49ers have given up seven such runs.
  • The Denver defense has 37 sacks on the year while San Francisco has just 29.