Cleveland Cavaliers at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Prediction


The league’s top scoring team will be a 14-point favorite at home in Fiserv Forum, when the Milwaukee Bucks (17-8) challenge the Cleveland Cavaliers (6-20). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 223 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Ohio at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, December 10, 2018.

Cleveland Cavaliers at Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last outing. The Bucks (2-point underdogs) defeated the Toronto Raptors 104-99, while the Cavaliers (7.5-point underdog) beat the Washington Wizards 116-101. The Milwaukee game went 39 points under the projected point total of 242, while the Cleveland game finished 0.5 points over the projected point total of 216.5.

Cleveland dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 32.4 (above their season average of 26.6) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.612 (above their season average of 0.493). For those same stats, Washington was 17.8 and 0.523, respectively. The Bucks, meanwhile, made 17 of their 20 free throws (85.0 percent) and held the Raptors to an effective field goal percentage of 0.495 (below their season average of 0.550). Milwaukee was led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, who recorded 19 points, 19 rebounds and six assists. Tristan Thompson, meanwhile had a solid performance for Cleveland, putting up 23 points, 19 rebounds and five assists.

The Cavaliers captured this series last year, taking three out of four games. In the most recent game, Cleveland won 124-117. The Cavaliers’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Bucks. Cleveland had a rate of 33.3, while Milwaukee posted a mark of 21.1. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Of the Cavaliers’ 26 games, 14 have finished under the total. Cleveland comes into the game with records of 6-20 straight up (SU) and 13-13 against the spread (ATS).

Bucks games have a tendency to go over the total (62.5 percent). Further, Milwaukee is 17-8 SU and 12-12 ATS.

Malcolm Brogdon has taken his game to another level as of late for Milwaukee, averaging 17 points,6.4 rebounds,4.2 assists over the last five games.

The high-octane offense of Milwaukee will face off against the bottom-tier defense of Cleveland. The Bucks rank second in offensive efficiency, while the Cavaliers are 30th in defensive efficiency. The Bucks figure to have the edge on that end of the court. Also, the Cavaliers rank third in offensive rebounding percentage (26.8 percent), while the Bucks rank first in defensive rebounding percentage (81.4 percent).

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Cavaliers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank 2 in second chance points allowed per game (10.84) while the Cavaliers rank 11 (12.692307692307692).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (40.4) while Cleveland ranks last (24.1).
  • The Bucks rank seventh in blocks per game (5.8) while the Cavaliers rank 28th (2.3).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (50.2) while Cleveland ranks 22nd (43.7).
  • Milwaukee ranks 13 in points off turnovers per game (17.4) while Cleveland ranks 28 (14.153846153846153).
  • The Bucks rank fourth in assists per game (26.7) while the Cavaliers rank last (19.3).
  • The Bucks rank 7 in fast break points per game (15.8) while the Cavaliers rank 27 (10.076923076923077).
  • Milwaukee ranks 18 in steals per game (7.36) while Cleveland ranks 25 (6.730769230769231).
  • Milwaukee ranks third in points in the paint per game (55.1) while Cleveland ranks 27th (42.4).
  • Milwaukee is 5-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Cleveland is 2-2.
  • When reaching 100 points, the Bucks are 17-7 and the Cavaliers are 5-10.
  • Milwaukee is 9-6 ATS at home, while Cleveland is 7-5 ATS on the road.
  • The Cavaliers have 7 unders and 5 overs in 12 road games.
  • In 15 home games, the Bucks have 9 overs and 6 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Cavaliers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Bucks are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Cleveland has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Milwaukee has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • During their last five games, the Cavaliers have scored an average of 105.0 points per game (1.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.4 points per game (0.9 above their season average).
  • The Bucks\u2019 average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.8, down from 9.6 for the season.