Expect a fast-paced game when the Atlanta Hawks (26-48), 1.5-point underdogs, travel to New Orleans to take on the Pelicans (31-44). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 240 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 26, 2019.
Atlanta Hawks vs. New Orleans Pelicans Betting Odds
In the Hawks’ last matchup, they narrowly defeated the Philadelphia 76ers, 129-127, as 7-point underdogs. The Pelicans, on the other hand, were thoroughly outplayed by the Houston Rockets, 113-90, and failed to cover as 9.5-point underdogs. The Atlanta game went 20 points over the projected point total of 236, while the New Orleans game went 27.5 points under the projected point total of 230.5.
The Hawks had a superb turnover percentage of 9.4 (better than their season average of 14.5) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.533 (above their season average of 0.522). New Orleans, meanwhile, forced Houston into a turnover percentage of 15.9 (above their season average of 11.6). New Orleans rallied around Anthony Davis, who had 12 points and 10 rebounds. Trae Young played a key role for Atlanta with 32 points, 11 assists and six rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, John Collins led the Hawks to a 128-116 win. He recorded a double-double with 23 points and 10 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 244 points, which was over the projected point total of 237.5, and Atlanta covered as a 2-point favorite. Atlanta out-rebounded New Orleans. The Hawks had more offensive rebounds (10 vs. five), defensive rebounds (46 vs. 37) and total rebounds (56 vs. 42).
Games involving the Hawks tend to finish over the projected point total (56.8 percent). Atlanta comes into the contest with records of 26-48 straight up (SU) and 37-37 against the spread (ATS).
Just over half of Pelicans games have finished over the projected point total. Moreover, New Orleans owns records of 31-44 SU and 35-39-1 ATS.
The Hawks’ Young has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 22 points,8.0 assists per game. Meanwhile, Frank Jackson has averaged 15 points during that same time frame for the Pelicans.
There should be plenty of transition offense in this battle that showcases a pair of the league’s more up-tempo teams. New Orleans currently ranks fourth in possessions per game (105.6) and Atlanta is first (106.7).
Atlanta Hawks vs. New Orleans Pelicans Odds Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pelicans average 5.4 blocks per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Hawks rank 21st in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
- New Orleans ranks third in assists per game (27.1) while Atlanta ranks last in assists allowed per game (27.0).
- The Pelicans average 15.0 fast break points per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Hawks rank last in fast break points allowed per game (16.6).
- Atlanta averages 51.1 points in the paint per game, which ranks seventh in the league. New Orleans ranks 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.5).
- New Orleans ranks 15th in steals per game (7.5) while Atlanta ranks last in steals allowed per game (10.1).
- The Hawks rank third in three pointers attempted per game (36.3) while the Pelicans rank 24th in three pointers allowed per game (33.5).
- The Hawks rank 10th in points off turnovers per game (17.1) while the Pelicans rank 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.9).
- New Orleans ranks fifth in rebounds per game (47.3) while Atlanta ranks 16th in rebounds allowed per game (45.2).
- New Orleans averages 14.4 second chance points per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Atlanta ranks 25th in second chance points allowed per game (14.2).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Atlanta is 3-2 and New Orleans is 5-2.
- When scoring over 100 points, the Pelicans are 31-36 and the Hawks are 25-39.
- Atlanta is 21-16 ATS on the road, while New Orleans is 16-20 ATS at home.
- The Hawks have 21 overs and 16 unders in 37 road games.
- The Pelicans have 18 unders, 17 overs and 1 push in 36 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Hawks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Pelicans are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Atlanta has 3 overs and 2 unders, while New Orleans has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 112.4 points per game (0.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 118.4 points per game (0.2 below their season average).
- The Pelicans’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.2, up from 0.7 for the season.
