Alcorn State Braves at South Florida Bulls Free Prediction 12/21/18

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The Alcorn State Braves (4-7) and the South Florida Bulls (8-2) face off at USF Sun Dome. The Braves look to snap a six-game road losing streak. Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, December 21, 2018, and can be seen on ESPN 3.

Alcorn State Braves vs. South Florida Bulls ATS Odds

In their last contest, the Bulls beat the Alabama A&M Bulldogs, 80-63, while the Braves lost to the Tulsa Golden Hurricane, 73-56.

South Florida dominated every stat category in the game. They had an effective field goal percentage of 0.651 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 38.5. Alabama A&M had marks of 0.510 and 31.3, respectively, for those same stats. Alcorn State, on the other hand, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.480 vs. 0.541). South Florida rallied around Laquincy Rideau, who finished with eight points, 10 assists and five rebounds. Deshaw Andrews fueled Alcorn State with 20 points and five rebounds.

This could end up being a sloppy game for the South Florida offense. South Florida ranks 336th in the NCAA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 22.5 percent), while the gambling defense of Alcorn State forces the 54th-most turnovers in the country (22.3 percent). Moreover, the Braves rank 282nd in offensive efficiency (99.8), while the Bulls rank 42nd in defensive efficiency (93.1).

Alcorn State Braves vs. South Florida Bulls Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – South Florida, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • South Florida ranks 42nd in rebounds per game (40.6) while Alcorn State ranks 168th (35.0).
  • The Braves rank 56th in three pointers attempted per game (25.8) while the Bulls rank 152nd in three pointers allowed per game (23.0).
  • Alcorn State ranks 39th in blocks allowed per game (2.6) while South Florida ranks 109th (4.1).
  • The Bulls rank 80th in assists per game (14.1) while the Braves rank 203rd in assists allowed per game (15.6).
  • Alcorn State ranks 20th in steals per game (8.6) while South Florida ranks 123rd in steals allowed per game (6.4).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Braves have scored an average of 58.2 points per game (11.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 72.4 points per game (3.1 above their season average).
  • The Bulls’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.0, up from 8.2 for the season.