It figures to be a low-scoring affair as the Xavier Musketeers (10-2), 2-point underdogs, visit TCU to take on the Horned Frogs (8-2). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 133.5 points and it can be seen on ESPN2 at 5 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 22, 2019.
Xavier Musketeers at TCU Horned Frogs ATS Odds
Both teams were triumphant in their last game. The Horned Frogs easily got past the Lamar Cardinals 79-50, while the Musketeers beat the Western Carolina Catamounts 74-61.
Xavier dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.264 (above their season average of 0.230) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.6 (below their season average of 32.6). For those same stats, Western Carolina was 0.148 and 20.0, respectively. The Horned Frogs, meanwhile, forced 19 turnovers and held the Cardinals to an effective field goal percentage of 0.377 (below their season average of 0.477). TCU was lifted by RJ Nembhard, who finished with 13 points, nine assists and seven rebounds. Meanwhile, Jason Carter played well for Xavier, contributing 16 points and nine rebounds.
Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Musketeers games, with an even split between overs and unders. Xavier is 10-2 straight up (SU), but they are just 3-9 against the spread (ATS).
Horned Frogs games have a tendency to finish under the total (66.7 percent). TCU has a phenomenal 8-2 SU record, but they struggle covering the spread (3-6 ATS).
Points could be at a premium in this meeting between two of the NCAA’s top defenses. TCU ranks 21st in defensive efficiency (87.1) and Xavier is 37th (88.8).
Xavier Musketeers at TCU Horned Frogs ATS Pick
Free Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Tcu, ATS Winner – TCU, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Xavier ranks 28th in assists allowed per game (10.0) while TCU ranks 187th (14.4).
- The Horned Frogs average 37.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 74th in the country. The Musketeers rank 146th in rebounds allowed per game (35.3).
- TCU ranks 27th in blocks per game (5.1) while Xavier ranks 62nd (3.8).
- The Horned Frogs rank 28th in three pointers attempted per game (27.4) while the Musketeers rank 136th (21.9).
- TCU ranks 16th in steals per game (9.7) while Xavier ranks 94th in steals allowed per game (6.3).
Bettings Trends:
- The Musketeers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.2, up from 9.9 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Horned Frogs have scored an average of 74.4 points per game (0.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 61.2 points per game (0.5 above their season average).
