The Western Michigan Broncos and Toledo Rockets are set to face off on the turf at Glass Bowl. Kickoff for this importantmatchup is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET and ESPN+ will broadcast the action.
Betting Preview: Western Michigan Broncos at Toledo Rockets
Western Michigan is the road underdog in this MAC game and is currently getting 2 points. The Broncos are also receiving +110 moneyline odds while the Rockets are -130. This MAC matchup should provide several decent live betting possibilities, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 68 points.
This matchup’s line opened at -4 but has recently moved up to -2. The game’s O/U hasn’t moved after it was set initially at 68.
The Broncos have gained 0.0 units this season and are 2-2-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 2-3.
The Rockets have gained 1.2 units so far. The team is 2-2 ATS and has an even O/U record of 2-2.
The Broncos have gone 3-2 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against conference opponents. The Rockets are 3-1 SU overall and 0-0 SU in conference play.
The Broncos are looking to keep things going after a solid 31-15 victory over Central Michigan last week where their D allowed the Chippewas to pass for 330 yards while rushing for 107 yards. Jonathan Ward had a good day for the Chippewas in that one with 107 rushing yards on 19 attempts. On the offense, Jon Wassink completed 18 passes for 244 yards, along with one score and a pick. LeVante Bellamy (105 yards on 25 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Wassink (65 yards on six carries, one TD) spearheaded the ground attack in the win. Keith Mixon Jr. (six receptions, 62 yards) and Skyy Moore (four catches, 67 yards) shared the receiving duties.
Toledo is coming off of a 28-21 win over BYU. The defensive unit allowed the Cougars to pass for 354 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 101 yards. Aleva Hifo was a bright spot in the loss, recording 111 yards and two touchdowns on five catches for BYU. For Toledo, Mitchell Guadagni completed 17-of-28 passes for 206 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Bryant Koback (88 rushing yards on 23 attempts, one TD) and Shakif Seymour (96 yards on 19 carries, one TD) handled the ground game in the win while Desmond Phillips (five receptions, 64 yards) and Bryce Mitchell (four catches, 52 yards) led the receiving attack.
Western Michigan’s run the ball on 51.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Toledo has an overall rush percentage of 64 percent. The Broncos have produced 199.2 rush yards per game and have 14 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Rockets are totaling 262.3 rushing yards per game and have 11 total rush TDs.
If the results so far this season are any indication, then it seems like the Broncos could hold an advantage when it comes to applying pressure. Their offensive line has yielded just 20 sacks while the D-line registered 28 sacks. The Rockets, on the other hand, have allowed 29 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 34 occasions.
The Broncos offensive scheme has logged 299.4 yards per contest through the air overall and has 11 passing TDs so far. The Rockets have recorded 207.8 pass yards per game and have six total pass scores.
Defensively, Western Michigan appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 190.8 yards and throw for 253.6 yards per game. The Toledo defense has allowed 300.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 174.8 yards per game on the ground. The Broncos are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.80 to opposing QBs, while the Rockets have given up a 6.41 ANY/A.
Guadagni has managed to complete 42-of-65 passes for 594 yards, four TDs and one INT. Guadagni’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 8.53 for the season and 6.60 across his past two outings. In the other huddle, Wassink is up to 1,110 passing yards this year, and has connected on 76-of-111 attempts with eight passing touchdowns and three interceptions. Wassink has a 9.67 ANY/A for the year, although that number is 7.12 over the past two outings.
These two teams met a year ago with the final result being a 51-24 victory for Toledo.
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets NCAA Prediction
SU Winner: Western Michigan, ATS Winner: Western Michigan, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The Over/Under for Western Michigan’s last game going into it was 62.5. The under cashed in the team’s 31-15 victory over Central Michigan.
- Western Michigan has averaged 7.3 yards per carry across its last three games and 5.5 over its last two.
- Toledo has averaged 6.3 yards per carry over its last three outings and 6.6 over its past two.
- Toledo has lost three fumbles this season while Western Michigan has let four get away.
- In its last three games, Western Michigan is 1-1-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Toledo’s last game was 64.5. The under cashed in the team’s 28-21 victory over BYU.
- In its last three games, Toledo is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Broncos offense has tallied six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Rockets have accounted for four such plays.
- Both defenses have allowed four pass plays of 40 yards or more and six pass plays of 30+ yards.
- The Western Michigan offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Toledo has created 10 such runs.
- The Broncos defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Rockets have given up nine such runs.
- The Western Michigan defensive unit has more than twice as many sacks as Toledo this year (13 versus six).
