Week 9 Free ATS Pick: Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants

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The Dallas Cowboys (-7) and New York Giants will go toe-to-toe on the turf at MetLife Stadium. This Monday Night matchup kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET and ESPN is scheduled to have the TV rights.

Thursday NightBetting Preview: New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys

In this early-week NFC game, Dallas is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 7 points. The Cowboys are also receiving -280 moneyline odds while the Giants are +230. If one team finds paydirt early it’ll create a reasonable betting scenario in-game. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 47.5 points.

The game’s total has been driven higher after opening at 47. The original line (7) has remained firm.

The Cowboys have lost 2.7 units so far in 2019 and are 4-3 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 4-3.

The Giants have lost 3.0 units this season. The team is 3-5 ATS and has an even O/U record of 4-4.

The Cowboys are 4-3 straight up (SU), including 3-0 SU against NFC East opponents. The Giants are 2-6 SU overall and 1-1 SU against divisional foes.

The Cowboys are coming off a resounding 37-10 win over Philadelphia on October 20 where Dak Prescott completed 21 passes on 27 attempts for 239 yards, along with one score and a pick. Ezekiel Elliott (111 rushing yards on 22 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack while Elliott (six receptions, 36 yards) and Amari Cooper (five catches, 106 yards) manned the receiving duties in the win.

New York just suffered a 31-26 defeat to Detroit a week ago. The defensive secondary allowed the Lions to air it out for 342 yards and three touchdowns. Kenny Golladay put up a solid outing for Detroit, recording 123 yards and two touchdowns on six catches. For New York, Daniel Jones completed 28-of-41 passes for 322 yards and four touchdowns. Saquon Barkley (64 yards on 19 rush attempts) mounted the running attack as Golden Tate (eight receptions, 85 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Dallas has run the ball on 46.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New York has a rush percentage of 36.5 percent. The Cowboys have rushed for 146 yards per game (including 163.7 per game against East opponents) and have 11 touchdowns on the ground this year. The G-Men are putting up 102.4 rush yards per game (157.5 in conference) and have six total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Cowboys ought to be the more disruptive team in the trenches, as their offensive line has given up only 56 sacks while the D-line registered 39 sacks. The Giants, on the other hand, have allowed 47 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs just 30 times.

The Cowboys offense has logged 303.3 yards per contest in the air overall (304.3 per game against conference opposition) and has 12 passing scores so far. The G-Men have put up 252.8 pass yards per outing (274 against NFC competition) and also have 12 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Dallas should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 96.9 yards and throw for 247.6 yards per game. The New York defense has allowed 283.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 122.4 yards per game to opposing runners. The Cowboys are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.97 to opposing QBs, while the G-Men have allowed a 7.63 ANY/A.

Prescott has been more effective than Jones lately, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 8.20for the year (and 6.45 over the past two outings). Jones’ ANY/A is 5.47 for the season and 5.76 over his past two games.

Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants NFL Pick

SU Winner: Cowboys, ATS Winner: Giants, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • The O/U for Dallas’ last game was set at 50. The under cashed in the team’s 37-10 triumph over Philadelphia.
  • Dallas, as a team, has produced 4.8 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.5 over its last two.
  • New York has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.1 over its past two.
  • The New York offense has lost 10 fumbles this season while Dallas has lost two.
  • Over its last three matchups, Dallas is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for New York’s last game was set at 49. The over cashed in the 31-26 defeat to Detroit.
  • In its last three contests, New York is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Cowboys offense has produced seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Giants have accounted for four such plays.
  • The Dallas defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while New York has given up nine such plays.
  • The Dallas offense has created four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while New York has created five such runs.
  • The Cowboys defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while the Giants have given up eight such runs.
  • The New York defense has tallied 22 sacks on the year while Dallas has 17.