Week 9 Betting Free Pick: Washington Redskins vs. Buffalo Bills

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The Washington Redskins (+10) are heading northeast to face the Buffalo Bills at New Era Field. FOX owns the TV rights and the game is scheduled to get underway at 1:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Washington Redskins vs. Buffalo Bills

In this Sunday matchup, Buffalo is getting picked as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 10 points. The Redskins are also receiving +325 moneyline odds while the Bills are -475. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 36.5 points, and if one squad can get out in front early, it’ll probably generate a worthy in-game betting opportunity.

The Redskins are 3-5 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 4.0 units so far. They’ve been a decent under bet and have recorded an Over-Under mark of 3-5.

The Bills are up 2.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-3 ATS and own an O/U record of 2-5.

The Redskins are 1-7 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Bills are 5-2 SU.

The Redskins lost to Minnesota 19-9 in a Week 8 contest where the passing attack was on point, as the Redskins completed 15-of-21 passes for 163 yards and one interception. Case Keenum went 12-for-16 for 130 yards while Dwayne Haskins Jr. completed three-of-five for 33 yards and one interception. Adrian Peterson (76 yards on 14 rush attempts) provided the ground attack while Terry McLaurin (four receptions, 39 yards) and Paul Richardson Jr. (three catches, 34 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.

Back in Week 8, Philadelphia took care of this Buffalo crew by a score of 31-13. Josh Allen completed 16-of-34 passes for 169 yards and two touchdowns. Frank Gore (34 yards on nine rush attempts) led the running game as John Brown (five receptions, 54 yards) and Devin Singletary (four catches, 30 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Washington has run the ball on 40.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Buffalo has an overall rush percentage of 43.9 percent. The Redskins have produced 84.8 rush yards per game and have two touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bills are putting up 130.4 rushing yards per game and have six total rush TDs.

If the numbers so far this season are any indication, then it seems like the Bills may hold an advantage when it comes to RB efficiency. Their running backs has generated 4.9 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 4.2 to opponents. The Redskins have recorded 4.2 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.4 to opponents.

The Redskins offensive scheme has tallied 200.6 yards/game through the air overall and has nine passing TDs so far. The Bills have recorded 231.4 pass yards per game and also have nine total pass scores.

Defensively, Washington has allowed 137.8 rush yards and 254.9 pass yards per game. The Buffalo defense has given up 208.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 109.4 yards per game on the ground. The Bills are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.62 to opposing QBs, while the Redskins have given up a 6.52 ANY/A.

Allen has managed to complete 118-of-197 passes for 1,291 yards, seven TDs and seven INTs. Allen’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at an ultra-pedestrian 4.79 for the year and 6.41 over his past two outings. In the other huddle, Keenum has amassed 1,266 passing yards this season. He’s completed 117-of-176 attempts with nine passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Keenum’s got a 6.39 ANY/A, including 5.03 over the last two games.

Washington Redskins at Buffalo Bills Free NFL Pick

SU Winner: Bills, ATS Winner: Redskins, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • As a team, Washington has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.5 over its last two.
  • Buffalo has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.0 over its last two.
  • The Buffalo offense has lost four fumbles this season while Washington has let five get away.
  • The Redskins offense has created two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Bills have accounted for three such plays.
  • The Washington defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Buffalo has given up one such play.
  • The Washington offense has created three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Buffalo has created five such runs.
  • The Redskins defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Bills have given up five such runs.
  • The Washington defensive unit has 19 sacks on the year while Buffalo has 16.