Week 9 Betting Free Pick: Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers

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The Steelers are set to host the Indianapolis Colts at Heinz Field. CBS owns the TV rights and kickoff will take place at 1:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers

Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 43.5 points, and it appears that there will likely be some solid live betting scenarios while this game is taking place.

The profitable Colts have gained 4.4 units so far in 2019 and are 4-3 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 4-3.

The Steelers are down 1.8 units this season. The team is 3-2-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-4.

The Colts are 5-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Steelers are 3-4 SU.

The Colts just notched a 15-13 win over Denver in Week 8. Jacoby Brissett completed 15-of-25 passes for 202 yards. Marlon Mack (76 yards on 19 rush attempts, one TD) led the ground attack. Jack Doyle (four receptions, 61 yards) and Nyheim Hines (three catches, 34 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

The Pittsburgh Steelers just earned a 27-14 win over Miami a week ago. The defense held its ground in the victory, limiting the Dolphins to just 190 passing yards and 60 rushing yards. DeVante Parker had a good showing in the loss, recording 59 yards on six catches for Miami. For Pittsburgh, Mason Rudolph completed 20-of-36 passes for 251 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. James Conner (145 yards on 23 rush attempts, one TD) spearheaded the running game while JuJu Smith-Schuster (five receptions, 103 yards, one TD) and Diontae Johnson (five catches, 84 yards, one TD) led the receiving attack in the win.

Indianapolis has run the ball on 48.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Pittsburgh has a rush percentage of 41.5 percent. The Colts have produced 128.4 rush yards/game and have four touchdowns on the ground this year. The Steelers are averaging 88.1 rushing yards per game and have five total rush TDs.

The Colts offense has averaged 227.1 yards through the air overall and has 14 passing scores so far. The Steelers have recorded 211.9 pass yards per outing and have 10 total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Indianapolis has allowed 111.3 rush yards and 254.7 pass yards per game. The Pittsburgh defense has allowed 256 yards per game to opposing passers and 103.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Steelers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.26 to opponents, while the Colts have allowed a 6.80 ANY/A.

Rudolph has managed to complete 83-of-130 passes for 897 yards, nine TDs and three INTs for Pittsburgh. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.68 for the season and 6.08 over his last two outings. In the other huddle, Brissett is up to 1,264 passing yards this year. He’s completed 123-of-192 attempts with 10 passing touchdowns and only three interceptions. Brissett has a 6.27 ANY/A for the year, although that number sits at 8.58 over the last two outings.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Free NFL Pick

SU Winner: Colts, ATS Winner: Colts, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • The Over/Under for Indianapolis’ last game going into it was 42. The under cashed in the team’s 15-13 victory over Denver.
  • As a team, Indianapolis has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its past three games and 3.3 over its last two.
  • Pittsburgh has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.3 over its past two.
  • The Pittsburgh offense has lost three fumbles this season while Indianapolis has let four get away.
  • In its last three games, Indianapolis is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • Indianapolis has won six of its last seven games SU, with a seven-point loss to Oakland on September 29th representing the only defeat over that stretch.
  • The O/U for Pittsburgh’s last matchup was set at 42.5. The under cashed in the team’s 27-14 win over Miami.
  • Over its last three matches, Pittsburgh is 2-0-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Colts offense has produced one pass play of 40+ yards, while the Steelers have accounted for five such plays.
  • The Indianapolis defense has allowed three pass plays of 40+ yards, while Pittsburgh has given up two such plays.
  • The Indianapolis offense has created five rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Pittsburgh has created four such runs.
  • The Colts defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Steelers have given up two such runs.
  • The Pittsburgh D has tallied 24 sacks on the year while Indianapolis has 19.