Week 8 Free Betting Pick – Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons

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The Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) are heading east to face the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This early afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET and you can view the action live on FOX.

Betting Preview: Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons

In this Sunday NFC matchup, Seattle is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 3.5 points. The Seahawks are also receiving -160 moneyline odds while the Falcons are +140. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 54 points. Some good live betting possibilities could present themselves during the game.

This game’s opening line was 3. The total has not changed after it was set initially at 54.

The Seahawks have gained 1.8 units so far and are 3-4 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U mark of 4-3.

The disappointing Falcons have lost 6.0 units this season. They’re 1-6 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-4.

The Seahawks are 5-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Falcons are 1-6 SU.

The Seahawks are on the rebound after a 30-16 loss to Baltimore last week where Russell Wilson completed only 20 passes on 41 attempts for 241 yards, along with one TD and an interception. Chris Carson (65 yards on 21 rush attempts) led the ground attack. Tyler Lockett (five receptions, 61 yards, one TD) and DK Metcalf (four catches, 53 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

In Week 7, the Rams knocked off this Atlanta team by a score of 37-10. As a group, the team collectively completed 22-of-33 passes for 224 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Matt Ryan went 16-for-27 for 159 yards and one interception while Matt Schaub was six-of-six for 65 yards and one touchdown. Devonta Freeman (19 rushing yards on seven attempts) spearheaded the running game while Julio Jones (six receptions, 93 yards) and Austin Hooper (four catches, 46 yards, one TD) led the receiving corps in the loss.

Seattle’s run the ball on 48.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Atlanta has a rush percentage of 31 percent. The Seahawks have produced 127 rush yards per game and have seven scores on the ground this year. The Falcons are putting up 68.4 rushing yards per game and have two total rush TDs.

The Seahawks offense has logged 277.9 yards/contest in the air overall and has 15 passing TDs so far. The Falcons have recorded 319.3 pass yards per game and have 16 total pass scores.

Defensively, Seattle has allowed 108 rush yards and 258.6 pass yards per game. The Atlanta defense has allowed 278.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 113.7 yards per game on the ground. The Seahawks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.26 to opponents, while the Falcons have given up an ugly 9.23 ANY/A.

Offensively, Wilson is up to 1,650 passing yards this year, and has completed 134-of-197 attempts with 13 passing scores and only one interception. Wilson’s got an 8.45 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 6.92 over the past two outings.

In the other huddle, Matt Ryan has completed 172-of-249 passes for 1,814 yards, 11 TDs and eight INTs. Ryan’s ANY/A sits at 5.82 for the season and 7.10 across his last two games.

Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons NFL Pick

SU Winner: Falcons, ATS Winner: Falcons, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • The O/U for Seattle’s previous game going into it was 48.5. The under cashed in the team’s 30-16 defeat to Baltimore.
  • Seattle has produced 4.1 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.3 over its last two.
  • Atlanta has averaged 3.3 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.5 over its past two.
  • The Atlanta offense has lost four fumbles this season while Seattle has lost seven.
  • In its last three games, Seattle is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Atlanta’s previous game was set at 54.5. The under cashed in the 37-10 loss to the Rams.
  • Over its last three matches, Atlanta is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Seahawks offense has recorded six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Falcons have put up one such play.
  • The Seattle defense has allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards, while Atlanta has given up five such plays.
  • The Seattle offense has created five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Atlanta has created four such runs.
  • Both teams have allowed six rushing plays of 20 yards or more. The Seahawks have given up 19 running plays of 10+ yards while the Falcons have given up 20 such plays.
  • The Seattle defensive unit has more than twice as many sacks as Atlanta this year (11 to five).