Week 7 Free Betting Pick – Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Redskins

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The Dallas Cowboys (+2) are set to face off against the Washington Redskins (-2) at FedEx Field. CBS will televise the action and this key NFC East matchup is scheduled to get underway at 4:25 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys

Dallas is the road underdog in this NFC game and is currently receiving 2 points. The Cowboys are also receiving +110 moneyline odds while the Redskins are -130. If one side catches a lucky break early on it would produce a nice live betting scenario. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 41.5 points.

Odds have moved slightly from where they were initially set. The line opened at -2 while the game’s O/U was originally set at 42.

The Cowboys are 2-3-1 against the spread (ATS) and have recorded 0.3 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 2-4.

The Redskins have lost 0.1 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-3.

The Cowboys have gone 3-3 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against NFC East opponents. The Redskins are 3-2 SU overall and 0-0 SU against divisional foes.

The Cowboys are coming off a resounding 40-7 win over Jacksonville last week. Dak Prescott completed 17-of-27 passes for just 183 yards and two touchdowns. Ezekiel Elliott (106 yards on 24 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Prescott (82 yards on 11 carries, one TD) led the ground attack. Cole Beasley (nine receptions, 101 yards, two TDs) and Geoff Swaim (two catches, 21 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Washington just earned a 23-17 win over Carolina last week. Alex Smith completed 21-of-36 passes for 163 yards and two touchdowns. Adrian Peterson (97 yards on 17 rush attempts) handled the running attack while Jordan Reed (five receptions, 36 yards) and Vernon Davis (three catches, 48 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Dallas has run the ball on 50.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Washington has a rush percentage of 45.9 percent. The Cowboys have rushed for 147.5 yards per game (including 138.0 per game against East opponents) and have four touchdowns on the ground this year. The Redskins are totaling 116.8 rushing yards per game (0.0 in conference) and have five total rush TDs.

Based on the results so far, it appears the Cowboys could hold an advantage when it comes to RB efficiency, since their backfield has logged 5.1 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 3.5 to opponents. The Redskins have ran for 4.0 yards per carry and given up 4.1 YPC to opponents.

The Cowboys offense has logged 190.7 yards/contest through the air overall (160.0 per game versus conference opposition) and has seven passing scores so far. The Redskins have produced 241.0 pass yards per game (0 in the NFC) and have six total pass TDs.

Dallas has allowed opponents to run for an average of 90.7 yards and pass for 243.8 yards per game. The Washington D has given up 247.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 90.2 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Cowboys have given up an ANY/A of 6.53 to opposing QBs, while the Redskins are yielding an ANY/A of 6.24.

Offensively, Prescott has put up 936 passing yards this year. He’s completed 88-of-142 attempts with six scores through the air and two interceptions. Prescott has a 5.46 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.51 over the last two outings.

Look for a balanced approach offensively from Dallas in this one. As a group, Ezekiel Elliott, Dak Prescott and Cole Beasley have combined to account for 426 total yards and four touchdowns over the last two outings.

For the home team, Alex Smith has connected on 87-of-132 passes for 930 yards, six TDs and one INT. Smith’s ANY/A stands at 6.86 for the year and 4.88 over his last two outings.

As a trio, Adrian Peterson, Paul Richardson Jr. and Maurice Harris have combined for 288 total yards the last two outings.

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins Free Prediction

SU Winner: Redskins, ATS Winner: Cowboys, O/U: Under

Betting Notes

  • Washington has lost three fumbles this season while Dallas has let two get away.
  • The Dallas defensive unit has 18 sacks on the year while Washington has just 10.
  • Dallas, as a team, has produced 4.6 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.3 over its last two.
  • Washington has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.7 over its last two.
  • In its last three matches, Washington is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Dallas’ previous game was 39.5. The over cashed in the team’s 40-7 triumph over Jacksonville.
  • Over its last three games, Dallas is 1-1-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Washington’s last game going into it was 44.5. The under cashed in the team’s 23-17 triumph over Carolina.