The Kansas City Chiefs (+3) are heading east to take on the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium. This crucial Sunday Night matchup kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET and NBC will televise the action.
Betting Preview: Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots
Kansas City is the road underdog in this AFC matchup and is currently receiving 3 points. The Chiefs are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Patriots are -150. It appears that there will likely be multiple decent live betting scenarios in this game, and oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 59 points.
The game’s total has moved upward after originally being set at 58. The opening line hasn’t budged.
The surprising Chiefs are 5-0 against the spread (ATS) and have recorded 5.9 units so far in 2018. The team’s recorded an Over-Under mark of 3-2.
The Patriots are down 1.1 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-2 ATS and own an O/U record of 2-3.
The Chiefs have gone 5-0 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Patriots are 3-2 SU.
The Chiefs are looking to stay unbeaten after a 30-14 victory over Jacksonville last week. The Chiefs defense allowed the Jaguars to pass for 430 yards while rushing for 101 yards. Offensively, Patrick Mahomes completed 22-of-38 passes for 313 yards and two interceptions. Kareem Hunt (87 rushing yards on 22 attempts, one TD) mounted the ground attack. Sammy Watkins (six receptions, 78 yards) and Travis Kelce (five catches, 100 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
New England just put together a 38-24 win over Indianapolis in Week 5. Tom Brady completed 34-of-44 passes for 341 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Sony Michel (98 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the running attack while James White (10 receptions, 77 yards, one TD) and Julian Edelman (seven catches, 57 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Each of these squads sports a similar (44-56) run-pass ratio on the season. The Chiefs have run for 115.6 yards per game and have six scores on the ground this year. The Pats are averaging 113.0 rushing yards per game and have four total rush TDs.
The Chiefs offensive scheme has tallied 302.6 yards per game through the air overall and has 14 passing scores so far. The Pats have produced 251.8 pass yards per outing and have 12 total pass TDs.
Kansas City has let opponents rush for an average of 118.8 yards and pass for 360.4 yards per game. The New England defense has allowed 262.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 114.0 yards per game on the ground. The Pats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.87 to opposing QBs, while the Chiefs have given up a 6.50 ANY/A.
Brady has managed to complete 98-of-144 passes for 985 yards, nine TDs and four INTs. Brady’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.32 for the year and 7.03 over his last two outings. In the other huddle, Mahomes is up to 1,209 passing yards this season, and has completed 84-of-131 attempts with 13 passing touchdowns and only two interceptions. Mahomes has a 9.95 ANY/A for the year, though that number sits at 6.26 over the past two outings.
When these two franchises met a year ago, Kansas City earned the win 42-27.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots Free Prediction
SU Winner: Chiefs, ATS Winner: Chiefs, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- Kansas City was favored by 3 points in its last game and the Over/Under was set at 48. The under cashed and Kansas City covered in the 30-14 win over Jacksonville.
- As a team, Kansas City has averaged 4.10714285714286 yards per rush attempt over its last three games and 4.8 over its last two.
- New England has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.3 over its last two.
- New England has lost three fumbles this season while Kansas City has lost one.
- In its last three games, Kansas City is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- New England was favored by 11 points in its previous outing and the Over/Under was set at 49.5. The over cashed and New England covered in the 38-24 victory over Indianapolis.
- In its last three contests, New England is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Chiefs offense has created four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Patriots have accounted for one such play.
- The Kansas City defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while New England has given up one such play.
- Both defenses have produced three rushing plays of 20 yards or more. The Kansas City offense has recorded 11 running plays of 10+ yards while New England has accounted for 20 such plays.
- The Chiefs defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Patriots have given up two such runs.
- The Kansas City defense has more than twice as many sacks as New England this year (15 versus seven).
