Week 6 Free Pick: San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams

Posts AdminArticles, Football, NFL

A couple of clubs with quite different run-pass playing styles, the San Francisco 49ers (+4) are set to pay a visit to the Los Angeles Rams (-4) at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. This pivotal Sunday game starts at 4:05 p.m. ET and FOX is in line to have the TV rights.

Betting Preview: San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams

In what may be a NFC postseason preview, Los Angeles is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 4 points. The 49ers are also receiving +150 moneyline odds while the Rams are -170. If one squad can create a bunch of points early it will create a worthy live betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 48.5 points.

The profitable 49ers have gained 3.0 units so far in 2019 and are 2-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 1-2.

The Rams are down 2.0 units this season. The team is 4-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-2.

The 49ers are 4-0 straight up (SU) and they have yet to face any NFC West opponents this year. The Rams are 3-2 SU overall and 0-1 SU against divisional foes.

The Niners are hoping to remain undefeated after a 31-3 win over Cleveland in Week 5. Jimmy Garoppolo completed 20-of-29 passes for only 181 yards and two touchdowns. Tevin Coleman (97 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) and Matt Breida (114 yards on 11 carries, one TD) mounted the running attack while George Kittle (six receptions, 70 yards, one TD) and Marquise Goodwin (three catches, 41 yards) manned the receiving duties in the win.

In Week 5, Seattle knocked off this Los Angeles crew by a score of 30-29. The Rams defense let the Seahawks eat up the clock by rushing for 167 yards on 43 attempts. Chris Carson had a productive outing in the win for Seattle, posting 118 rushing yards on 27 attempts, along with five yards on one catch. For Los Angeles, Jared Goff completed 29-of-49 passes for 395 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Todd Gurley II (51 rushing yards on 15 attempts, two TDs) mounted the running game while Cooper Kupp (nine receptions, 117 yards, one TD) and Gerald Everett (seven catches, 136 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

San Francisco has run the ball on 57.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Los Angeles has an overall rush percentage of 34.1 percent. The 49ers have produced 200 rush yards/game and have six scores on the ground this year. The Rams are totaling 96.2 rushing yards per game (82 in conference) and have eight total rush TDs.

The Niners offensive scheme has logged 234 yards per game in the air overall and has seven passing scores so far. The Rams have recorded 329.8 pass yards per contest (395 in the NFC) and also have seven total pass TDs.

San Francisco should hold an advantage in both areas of the defense. The team’s let opponents rush for an average of 81.8 yards and pass for 199.8 yards per game. The Los Angeles D has allowed 258 yards per game to opposing passers and 106.8 yards per game on the ground. The Niners are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.44 to opposing QBs, while the Rams have allowed a 6.61 ANY/A.

Goff has managed to complete 95-of-154 passes for 1,132 yards, five TDs and four INTs. Goff’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.36 for the year and 6.43 over his last two games. In the other huddle, Garoppolo is up to 643 passing yards this year, and has completed 55-of-81 attempts with six passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Garoppolo’s got a 7.80 ANY/A, including 6.39 over the last two outings.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams Betting Pick

SU Winner: Rams, ATS Winner: Rams, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • The San Francisco defense has sacked opposing QBs 13 times this season. Los Angeles has produced 11 sacks.
  • Both offenses have lost four fumbles this year.
  • The 49ers offense has registered zero pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Rams have accounted for two such plays.
  • The San Francisco defense has allowed three pass plays of 40+ yards, while Los Angeles has given up two such plays.
  • The San Francisco offense has created three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Los Angeles has created four such runs.
  • The 49ers defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while the Rams have given up two such runs.
  • The Over/Under for Los Angeles’ last outing was 48.5. The over cashed in that 30-29 defeat to Seattle.
  • Over its last three games, Los Angeles is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • In its last three contests, San Francisco is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for San Francisco’s previous game was 44.5. The under cashed in the team’s 31-3 victory over Cleveland.
  • San Francisco, as a team, has produced 5.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.5 over its last two.
  • Los Angeles has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.8 over its last two.