Week 6 Betting Free Pick – Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens

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The Cincinnati Bengals (+12) are traveling east to visit their AFC North foe Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium. The opening kickoff for this game is set for 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS is in line to have the TV rights.

Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals

In this Sunday AFC game, Baltimore has been projected as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 12 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline bettors would currently need to put down $600 to win $100 back on the Ravens (-600). The Bengals are getting +400 moneyline odds. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 48.5 points. There should be some decent live betting possibilities for this match.

Sharp bettors have been leaning toward the Ravens. This line initially opened at -11 while the O/U was originally 48.

The disappointing Bengals are 2-3 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 5.5 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-3.

The Ravens have lost 0.8 units this season. The team is 1-3-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 4-1.

The Bengals are 0-5 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against AFC North opponents. The Ravens are 3-2 SU overall and 1-1 SU versus divisional foes.

The Bengals fell to Arizona 26-23 in a Week 5 game where the passing game was on point, as Andy Dalton completed 27-of-38 passes for 262 yards and two touchdowns. Joe Mixon (93 rushing yards on 19 attempts) led the ground attack. Tyler Boyd (10 receptions, 123 yards, one TD) and Damion Willis (four catches, 38 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Baltimore just earned a 26-23 win over Pittsburgh in Week 5. The defensive unit held its ground in the victory, restricting the Steelers to just 203 passing yards and 77 rushing yards. JuJu Smith-Schuster was a bright spot in the loss for Pittsburgh, recording 75 yards on seven catches. For Baltimore, Lamar Jackson completed 19-of-28 passes for 161 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Mark Ingram II (44 yards on 19 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Jackson (70 yards on 14 carries) led the running game while Andrews (five receptions, 45 yards) and Willie Snead IV (four catches, 51 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Cincinnati’s run the ball on 31.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Baltimore has a rush percentage of 51.7 percent. The Bengals have rushed for 61.2 yards/game (including 73 per game against North opponents) and have only one touchdown on the ground this year. The Ravens are averaging 192.2 rush yards per game (155.5 in conference) and have seven total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Ravens should have the edge in all aspects of the ground game. Their running backs has produced 5.3 yards per carry while the defense has allowed 4.7 YPC to opponents. The Bengals have recorded 3.3 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 5.0 to opponents.

The Bengals offense has logged 282.4 yards per game through the air overall (171 per game versus conference opposition) and has seven passing score so far. The Ravens have put up 265.2 pass yards per contest (204 against AFC competition) and have 12 total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Cincinnati appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 167.6 rush yards and 252.6 pass yards per game. The Baltimore defense has allowed 291.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 90.2 yards per game on the ground. The Ravens are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.44 to opponents, while the Bengals have allowed a staggering 8.55 ANY/A.

Jackson has completed 82-of-128 passes for 1,024 yards, eight TDs and three INTs. Jackson’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 7.15 for the season and 3.04 over his last two outings. In the other huddle, Dalton is up to 1,241 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 108-of-167 attempts with seven passing touchdowns and three interceptions. Dalton has a 6.66 ANY/A for the year, though that number sits at 4.27 over the past two games.

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens Free Betting Pick

SU Winner: Ravens, ATS Winner: Ravens, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • The O/U for Cincinnati’s previous game was 46.5. The over cashed in the team’s 26-23 loss to Arizona.
  • Cincinnati, as a team, has produced 4.0 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.3 over its last two.
  • Baltimore has averaged 5.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.5 over its past two.
  • The Baltimore offense has lost one fumble this season while Cincinnati has let six get away.
  • In its last three matches, Cincinnati is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Baltimore’s last matchup was set at 44. The over cashed in the 26-23 win over Pittsburgh.
  • In its last three contests, Baltimore is 0-2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • Each team has produced four pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Bengals have have made eight pass plays of 30+ yards while the Ravens have accounted for seven such plays.
  • The Cincinnati defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Baltimore has given up six such plays.
  • The Cincinnati offense has created zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Baltimore has created four such runs.
  • The Bengals defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Ravens have given up three such runs.
  • The Baltimore defense has tallied nine sacks on the year while Cincinnati has six.