The Redskins (-15) are set to welcome the New England Patriots to FedEx Field. This early afternoon game will get going at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to CBS.
Week 5 Betting Preview: New England Patriots vs. Washington Redskins
New England is the heavy road favorite and is currently giving up 15 points to Washington. If the Redskins get out in front early on it will result in a decent in-game betting opportunity. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 44 points.
Early action has been swaying toward the under, as the game’s total originally opened at 47.5.
The Patriots are 2-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 2.0 units so far in 2019. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 1-3.
The disappointing Redskins have lost 4.0 units this season. They’re 1-3 ATS and the over has hit in three of their games.
The Patriots have gone 4-0 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Redskins are 0-4 SU.
The Pats are hoping to stay unbeaten following a 16-10 victory over Buffalo in Week 4Their defense allowed the Bills to rush for 135 yards on 22 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Frank Gore had a productive day for the Bills in that one with 109 rushing yards on 17 attempts. On the offensive side of the ball, Tom Brady completed just 18 passes on 39 attempts for 150 yards and one interception. Sony Michel (63 yards on 17 rush attempts) led the ground attack. James White (eight receptions, 57 yards) and Julian Edelman (four catches, 30 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
In Week 4, the Giants knocked off this Washington crew by a score of 24-3. The Redskins defense allowed the Giants to eat up the clock by rushing for 164 yards on 37 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Wayne Gallman Jr. had a solid outing, recording 63 rushing yards and a score on 18 attempts, along with 55 yards on six catches for New York. As a group, the Redskins collectively completed 15-of-28 passes for 144 yards and four interceptions. Dwayne Haskins Jr. went nine-for-17 for 107 yards and three interceptions while Case Keenum was six-of-11 for 37 yards and one interception. Adrian Peterson (28 rushing yards on 11 attempts) handled the running game as Thompson (four receptions, 56 yards) and Paul Richardson Jr. (three catches, 14 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
New England’s run the ball on 43.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Washington has an overall rush percentage of 30.9 percent. The Patriots have produced 91.3 rush yards per game and have five scores on the ground this year. The Redskins are averaging 49.8 rushing yards per game and have only one rush TD.
If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then it appears the Patriots should own the advantage when it comes to quarterback protection. Their offensive line has given up only 21 sacks while their D-line logged 30 sacks. The Redskins O-line has given up 44 sacks and their defense has recorded only 46 sacks.
The Pats offense has logged 276.8 yards per game through the air overall and has seven passing TDs so far. The Redskins have put up 269.3 pass yards per game and also have seven total pass score.
Defensively, New England seems to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 61.3 yards and throw for 210 yards per game. The Washington D has allowed 259.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 147.5 yards per game on the ground. The Pats are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 1.63 to opponents, while the Redskins have allowed a 7.55 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Brady is up to 755 yards this year, and has completed 62-of-103 attempts with five scores through the air and only one interception. He has a 7.49 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 5.57 over the past two games.
We expect Brady to attack all areas of the Washington secondary. Josh Gordon (144 receiving yards and one touchdown), Julian Edelman (164 yards) and Phillip Dorsett II (144 yards, two TDs) have all been heavily involved recently, getting 18, 17 and 16 targets respectively over the past two outings.
Case Keenum has managed to complete 62-of-92 passes for 638 yards, five TDs and one INT for Washington. His ANY/A sits at 7.03 for the season and 3.08 over his last two outings.
Chris Thompson (17 rushing yards, 172 receiving yards on the year), Paul Richardson Jr. (66 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Terry McLaurin (257 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) have all played significant roles of late. The trio has combined to account for 335 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns over the past two games.
New England Patriots vs. Washington Redskins Betting Pick
SU Winner: , ATS Winner: Redskins, O/U: Over
Betting Trends
- The New England D has 18 sacks on the year while Washington has just five.
- Both offenses have lost two fumbles this year.
- The Patriots offense has produced three pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Redskins have put up two such plays.
- The New England defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while Washington has given up three such plays.
- Both defenses have produced zero rushing plays of 20+ yards. The New England offense has recorded five running plays of 10+ yards while Washington has accounted for three such plays.
- The Patriots defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 yards or more, while the Redskins have given up four such runs.
- As a team, New England has produced 3.1 yards per carry over its past three contests and 2.8 over its last two.
- Washington has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.3 over its past two.
