Week 4 Free Pick: Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans

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The Philadelphia Eagles (-3) will clash with the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium. Kickoff for this game is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and FOX will televise the action.

Betting Preview: Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans

Tennessee is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 3 points. The Eagles are also receiving -150 moneyline odds while the Titans are +130. Some good live betting opportunities may be unveiled during this showdown, and Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 42 points.

The Eagles have gained 0.5 units so far and are 1-2 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U mark of 1-2.

The Titans are up 3.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-1 ATS and also have an O/U record of 1-2.

The Eagles are 2-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Titans are also 2-1 SU.

The Eagles are coming off a 20-16 victory over Indianapolis last week. The Eagles D did its part in the win, keeping the Colts to just 164 passing yards and 68 yards on the ground. On the offensive side of the ball, Carson Wentz completed 25-of-37 passes for 255 yards, as well as one TD and an interception. Corey Clement (56 rushing yards on 16 attempts) and Wendell Smallwood (56 yards on 10 carries, one TD) led the ground attack while Dallas Goedert (seven receptions, 73 yards, one TD) and Zach Ertz (five catches, 73 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Tennessee is coming off of a 9-6 win over Jacksonville in Week 3. Marcus Mariota completed 12-of-18 passes for 100 yards. Derrick Henry (57 rushing yards on 18 attempts) mounted the running game as Taywan Taylor (four receptions, 30 yards) and Lewis (three catches, 14 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Philadelphia has run the ball on 41.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tennessee has a rush percentage of 54.7 percent. The Eagles have produced 118.7 rush yards per game and have five touchdowns on the ground this year. The Titans are averaging 122.0 rush yards per game and have only one rushing TD.

Based on the early season results, it seems like the Eagles should own the advantage when it comes to efficiency in the ground game, since their backfield has generated 4.1 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.4 to opponents. The Titans have registered 3.7 yards per carry and given up 4.8 YPC to opponents.

The Eagles offensive scheme has logged 240.3 yards/contest in the air overall and has two passing scores so far. The Titans have recorded 173.0 pass yards per game and also have two total pass TD.

Defensively, Philadelphia has allowed 61.7 rush yards and 272.3 pass yards per game. The Tennessee defense has given up 231.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 118.3 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Eagles have given up an ANY/A of 6.15 to opposing QBs, while the Titans are allowing an ANY/A of 5.89.

Passing-wise, Foles has put up 451 yards this year, and has completed 66 percent of his 82 attempts with one passing scores and one interception. Foles has a 4.60 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 6.69 over the past two games.

In the other locker room, Blaine Gabbert has completed 12-of-25 passes for 125 yards, zero TDs and one INT. Gabbert’s ANY/A sits at a minuscule 2.33 for the season and 4.62 over his past two outings.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Pick

SU Winner: Titans, ATS Winner: Titans, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • Both passing attacks have produced one pass play of 40 or more yards. The Eagles have have made four pass plays of 30+ yards while the Titans have accounted for two such plays.
  • The Philadelphia defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Tennessee has given up one such play.
  • The Philadelphia offense has created two rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Tennessee has created one such run.
  • The Eagles defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Titans have given up one such run.
  • Each team defense has tallied eight sacks this season.
  • Philadelphia, as a team, has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last two games.
  • Tennessee has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last two.