Week 4 Free Betting Pick – Dallas Cowboys vs. New Orleans Saints

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The Dallas Cowboys (-3) and New Orleans Saints will go head-to-head on the dome of the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. This Sunday Night game kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET and NBC will broadcast the action.

Betting Preview: New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys

New Orleans is projected to play the role of underdog and is currently getting 3 points in this Sunday NFC game. The Cowboys are also receiving -150 moneyline odds while the Saints are +130. Some good live betting opportunities should present themselves during the game, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 46 points.

The game’s total has been driven higher after opening at 45. The original line (3) has stayed consistent.

Both of these teams have rewarded gamblers this year as the Cowboys have gained 2.0 units and the Saints are up 1.8 units.

The Cowboys are 3-0 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Saints are 2-1 SU.

The Cowboys are looking to stay unbeaten after a 31-6 victory over Miami last week. The defensive unit did its part in the win, limiting the Dolphins to just 229 passing yards and 72 yards on the ground. Kenyan Drake had a productive day for the Dolphins in that one with 38 rushing yards on 12 attempts. Offensively, Dak Prescott completed 19 passes for 246 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Ezekiel Elliott (125 rushing yards on 19 attempts) and Tony Pollard (103 yards on 13 carries, one TD) led the ground attack in the win while Amari Cooper (six receptions, 88 yards, two TDs) and Jason Witten (three catches, 54 yards) handled the receiving duties.

New Orleans just earned a 33-27 win over Seattle a week ago. The defense allowed the Seahawks to pass for 406 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 109 yards and two scores. Tyler Lockett was a force to be reckoned with, recording 154 yards on 11 catches for Seattle. For New Orleans, Teddy Bridgewater completed 19-of-27 passes for 177 yards and two touchdowns. Alvin Kamara (69 yards on 16 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the ground attack in the win while Kamara (nine receptions, 92 yards, one TD) and Michael Thomas (five catches, 54 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps.

Dallas has run the ball on 51 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New Orleans has an overall rush percentage of 37.9 percent. The Cowboys have run for 179 yards per game and have four touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Saints are logging 97.7 rush yards per game and have two total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Cowboys might have an advantage when it comes to effectiveness in the ground game. Their backfield has logged 5.5 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 4.7 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Saints have rushed for 4.6 yards per carry and allowed 5.1 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Cowboys offensive scheme has tallied 306.7 yards/game in the air overall and has nine passing TDs so far. The Saints have recorded 250 pass yards per outing and have four total pass scores.

Defensively, Dallas seems to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 90 rush yards and 257.7 pass yards per game. The New Orleans defense has allowed 319 yards per game to opposing passers and 134.7 yards per game to opposing runners. The Cowboys are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.09 to opposing QBs, while the Saints have given up an 8.38 ANY/A.

Offensively, Prescott has put up 651 passing yards this season. He’s completed 44-of-64 attempts with six passing scores and only one interception. Prescott’s got a sparkling 11.09 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 8.00 over the last two outings.

Teddy Bridgewater has completed 19-of-27 passes for 177 yards, two TDs and zero INTs for New Orleans. His ANY/A stands at 8.04 for the year and 6.20 over his past two outings.

These two squads faced off last year with the final outcome being a 13-10 win for Dallas.

Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints Betting Pick

SU Winner: Cowboys, ATS Winner: Cowboys, O/U: Under

Betting Notes

  • The Cowboys offense has produced three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Saints have put up two such plays.
  • The Dallas defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while New Orleans has given up five such plays.
  • The Dallas offense has created three rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while New Orleans has created two such runs.
  • The Cowboys defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while the Saints have given up four such runs.
  • The New Orleans defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks nine times this season. Dallas has produced five sacks.
  • Dallas has averaged 6.6 yards per carry over its last two matchups.
  • New Orleans has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its last two.
  • In its last three contests, New Orleans is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Dallas’ previous game was set at 46.5. The under cashed in the team’s 31-6 victory over Miami.
  • In its last three contests, Dallas is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for New Orleans’ previous match was 44. The over cashed in the team’s 33-27 victory over Seattle.