Week 3 Free Pick – Chicago Bears at Arizona Cardinals

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The Cardinals (+4) are gearing up to welcome the Chicago Bears (-4) to Arizona. Fans can catch the action live on FOX and kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Chicago Bears at Arizona Cardinals

Arizona is projected to play the role of underdog and is currently getting 4 points in this Sunday NFC game. The Bears are also receiving -170 moneyline odds while the Cardinals are +150. It appears that there could be some good live betting possibilities in this showdown.

The line opened at 5 but has recently moved.

The Bears have lost 1.0 unit so far and are 1-0 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 1-0.

The Cardinals have lost 2.3 units this season. The team is 0-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 0-2.

The Bears have gone 1-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Cardinals are 0-2 SU.

The Bears enter after a 24-17 victory over Seattle last week in which Mitchell Trubisky completed 25 passes on 34 attempts for 200 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Jordan Howard (35 rushing yards on 14 attempts) led the ground attack in the win. Allen Robinson II (10 receptions, 83 yards) and Taylor Gabriel (four catches, 30 yards) shared the receiving duties.

Arizona were just shut out 34-0 by the Rams in Week 2. The defensive secondary allowed the Rams to air it out for 354 yards. Brandin Cooks had a good showing in the win, recording 159 yards on seven catches for Los Angeles. For Arizona, Sam Bradford completed 17-of-27 passes for 90 yards and one interception. David Johnson (48 yards on 13 rush attempts) mounted the ground game in the defeat while Edmonds (five receptions, 15 yards) and Ricky Seals-Jones (four catches, 17 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Chicago’s run the ball on 43.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Arizona has a rush percentage of 33.0 percent. The Bears have produced 112.5 rush yards per game and have one score via handoffs this year. The Cards are logging 61.0 rushing yards per game and have only one rush TD.

The Bears offensive scheme has averaged 185.5 yards through the air overall and has two passing score so far. The Cards have recorded 121.5 pass yards per game and have yet to record a pass TD.

Chicago appears to have the upper hand in both areas of the defense. The team’s let opponents rush for an average of 71.5 yards and pass for 283.5 yards per game. The Arizona defense has given up 304.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 136.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bears are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.18 to opponents, while the Cards have given up a whopping 9.01 ANY/A.

Trubisky probably has the advantage over Bradford in this matchup, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 3.75for the year and 3.87 over the past two outings. Bradford’s ANY/A is 1.36 for the season and 2.16 over his last two outings.

Chicago Bears at Arizona Cardinals Free NFL Pick

SU Winner: Bears, ATS Winner: Bears

Betting Trends

  • The Chicago defensive unit has twice as many sacks as Arizona this year (10 to five).
  • Each team has lost one fumble this season.
  • Both teams have produced zero pass plays of 40+ yards. The Bears have have made two pass plays of 30+ yards while the Cardinals have created zero such plays.
  • The Chicago defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Arizona has given up zero such plays.
  • Both teams have produced zero rushing plays of 20 yards or more. The Chicago offense has recorded five running plays of 10+ yards while Arizona has accounted for two such plays.
  • Both teams have allowed zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Bears have given up three running plays of 10+ yards while the Cardinals have given up seven such plays.