Week 3 Free Betting Prediction – Cincinnati Bengals vs. Buffalo Bills

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The Cincinnati Bengals and Buffalo Bills are set to go at it on the turf at New Era Field. This early afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS has the TV rights.

Betting Preview: Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 6 points. The Bengals are also receiving +190 moneyline odds while the Bills are -230. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 44 points, and if one side can find paydirt early, it would likely result in a decent in-game betting opportunity.

Sharp bettors are siding with both the Bills and the over. The game’s line originally opened at -4 and the total was initially placed at just 40.5.

The less-than-stellar Bengals are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.0 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U mark of 1-1.

The surprising Bills are up 2.2 units this season. They’re 2-0 ATS and own an O/U record of 0-2.

The Bengals are a paltry 0-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Bills are 2-0 SU.

The Bengals fell to San Francisco 41-17 in a Week 2 blowout where their defense allowed the 49ers to pass for 313 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 259 yards and two scores. On the offensive side of the ball, Andy Dalton completed 26 passes for 311 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. As a team, the Bengals managed a total of 25 rushing yards in the loss.

Buffalo just put together a 28-14 win over the Giants in Week 2. Josh Allen completed 19-of-30 passes for 253 yards and one touchdown. Frank Gore (68 yards on 19 rush attempts, one TD) led the running game as John Brown (seven receptions, 72 yards) and Cole Beasley (four catches, 83 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Cincinnati has run the ball on 26.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Buffalo has an overall rush percentage of 46.8 percent. The Bengals have produced 29.5 rush yards/game and have yet to record a touchdown on the ground this year. The Bills are logging 139.5 rushing yards per game and have four total rush TDs.

If 2019 results can translate to this game, then it seems like the Bills could hold an advantage when it comes to quarterback protection, as their offensive line has given up only four sacks while the D-line has registered five sacks. The Bengals O-line has allowed nine sacks and their defense has generated only four sacks.

The Bengals offensive scheme has averaged a stout 364.5 yards through the air overall and has four passing score so far. The Bills have put up 253.5 pass yards per outing and have two total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Cincinnati has allowed 165.5 rush yards and 254 pass yards per game. The Buffalo defense has allowed 212.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 98.5 yards per game on the ground. The Bills are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.8 to opponents, while the Bengals have given up a staggering 10.56 ANY/A.

Allen has connected on 19-of-30 passes for 253 yards, one TD and zero INTs for Buffalo. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 7.79 for the season and 6.04 over his last two outings. In the other locker room, Dalton has put up 311 passing yards this year. He’s completed 26-of-42 attempts with two passing touchdowns and one interception. Dalton’s got a 6.22 ANY/A, including 7.07 over the last two games.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Prediction

SU Winner: Bengals, ATS Winner: Bengals, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • The Buffalo defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks five times this season. Cincinnati has produced four sacks.
  • The Buffalo offense has lost two fumbles in 2019 while Cincinnati has let three get away.
  • The Bengals offense has created three pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Bills have accounted for one such play.
  • The Cincinnati defense has allowed two pass plays of 40+ yards, while Buffalo has given up zero such plays.
  • The Cincinnati offense has created zero rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Buffalo has created three such runs.
  • The Bengals defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Bills have given up two such runs.
  • The Over/Under for Buffalo’s last outing was set at 44.5. The under cashed in that 28-14 victory over the Giants.
  • The O/U for Cincinnati’s previous game was 46.5. The over cashed in the team’s 41-17 loss to San Francisco.