Week 19 Free Betting Pick: Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens

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Head Coach John Harbaugh and the Baltimore Ravens (-9) are coming into the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs as big favorites as they prepare to battle Coach Mike Vrabel and the Tennessee Titans. The game is scheduled to get underway at 8:15 p.m. ET and CBS has the TV rights.

Week 19 Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens vs. Tennessee Titans

In this Saturday AFC matchup, Baltimore has been projected as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 9 points. If they want to take the moneyline, bettors would currently have to wager $400 in order to win $100 back on the Ravens (-400). The Titans are getting +300 moneyline odds. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 47 points. Based on the way things are shaping up, this matchup might offer some in-game betting opportunities.

The opening line was originally -10 while the total was set initially at 48, so the early action has shifted toward both the Titans and the under.

Each team has posted a good return this year as the Titans have gained 4.0 units while the Ravens are up 9.9 units.

The Titans are 10-7 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Ravens are 14-2 SU.

The Titans made it two in a row after a 20-13 win over New England last week. Ryan Tannehill completed just eight passes on 15 attempts for 72 yards, as well as one TD and an interception. Derrick Henry (182 rushing yards on 34 attempts, one TD) spearheaded the ground attack in the win. Anthony Firkser (two receptions, 23 yards, one TD) and MyCole Pruitt (two catches, four yards) handled the receiving duties.

Baltimore is coming off of a 28-10 win over Pittsburgh a couple of weeks ago. The Ravens allowed the Steelers to pass for 95 yards and rush for 91 more. Benny Snell Jr. had a productive showing in the defeat, posting 91 rushing yards and a score on 18 attempts for Pittsburgh. For Baltimore, Robert Griffin III completed 11-of-21 passes for 96 yards and one interception. Gus Edwards (130 yards on 21 rush attempts) and Justice Hill (39 yards on 10 carries, one TD) mounted the ground game in the win while Willie Snead IV (three receptions, 22 yards) and Marquise Brown (two catches, 15 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Tennessee’s run the ball on 51.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Baltimore has an overall rush percentage of 57.5 percent. The Titans have produced 142.6 rush yards/game and have 22 scores via handoffs this year. The Ravens are logging 206 rushing yards per game and have 21 total rush TDs.

If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then the Ravens may have the more disruptive lines up front. Their offensive line has yielded just 28 sacks while the D-line has logged 37 sacks. The Titans O-line has given up 57 sacks and their defense has recorded only 43 sacks.

The Titans offense has averaged 237.2 yards in the air overall and has 30 passing scores so far. The Ravens have produced 209.4 pass yards per outing and have 37 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Tennessee has allowed 104.1 rush yards and 268.5 pass yards per game. The Baltimore defense has given up 223.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 93.4 yards per game on the ground. The Ravens are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.22 to opponents, while the Titans have given up a 6.07 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Tannehill is up to 2,616 yards this year. He’s connected on 196-of-281 attempts with 21 passing scores and seven interceptions. Tannehill’s got an 8.00 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.78 over the last two games.

Derrick Henry, A.J. Brown and Corey Davis have combined to account for 587 yards from scrimmage and five touchdowns as a trio over the last two outings.

For the home team, Lamar Jackson has connected on 265-of-401 passes for 3,127 yards, 36 TDs and six INTs. Jackson’s ANY/A sits at 8.19 for the season and 9.61 over his last two games.

We expect the Ravens to control the game’s clock by putting the ball into the hands of their running backs. Along with QB Lamar Jackson (zero receiving yards this season), Gus Edwards (645 rush yards, two rush TDs) and Justice Hill (206 rush yards, one rush TD, 38 receiving yards) have been focal points in the Ravens’ recent offensive strategies.

When these two squads faced one another a year ago, Baltimore won by three touchdowns 21-0.

Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens Betting Prediction

SU Winner: Ravens, ATS Winner: Titans, O/U: Under

Betting Notes

  • The Baltimore offense has lost seven fumbles this season while Tennessee has lost nine.
  • The Tennessee D has sacked opposing QBs 43 times this season. Baltimore has registered just 37 sacks.
  • As a team, Tennessee has produced 5.7 yards per carry over its past three contests and 5.6 over its last two.
  • Baltimore has averaged 5.8 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 5.5 over its past two.
  • In its last three matchups, Baltimore is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Tennessee’s previous game was set at 46.5. The under cashed in the team’s 20-13 victory over New England.
  • Over its last three contests, Tennessee is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Baltimore’s last outing was set at 35.5. The over cashed in the team’s 28-10 victory over Pittsburgh.