Head Coach Matt LaFleur and the Green Bay Packers (-4) are coming into the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs as favorites against Coach Pete Carroll and the Seattle Seahawks. The matchup is scheduled to get going at 6:40 p.m. ET and you can tune in to the action on FOX.
Betting Preview: Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is the road underdog in this NFC game and is currently receiving 4 points. The Seahawks are also receiving +150 moneyline odds while the Packers are -170. If one squad can create a bunch of points early it’ll generate a nice betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 46 points.
With the spread opening at -4 and the O/U originally set at 46.5, odds have swayed a little.
Both of these teams have rewarded gamblers this year as the Seahawks have recorded 3.8 units and the Packers are ahead 10.6 units.
The Seahawks have gone 12-5 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Packers are 13-3 SU.
When these two squads faced each other a year ago, Seattle knocked Seattle off by a field goal 27-24.
The Seahawks are coming off a 17-9 victory over Philadelphia last week. Russell Wilson completed 18 passes for 325 yards and one touchdown. Travis Homer (12 rushing yards on 11 attempts) spearheaded the running attack. DK Metcalf (seven receptions, 160 yards, one TD) and Tyler Lockett (four catches, 62 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Green Bay just got a 23-20 win over Detroit two weeks ago. Aaron Rodgers completed 27-of-55 passes for 323 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Aaron Jones (100 rushing yards on 25 attempts) led the running game as Davante Adams (seven receptions, 93 yards, one TD) and Allen Lazard (four catches, 69 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Seattle’s run the ball on 48.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Green Bay has a rush percentage of 41.8 percent. The Seahawks have rushed for 133.2 yards/game and have 16 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Packers are putting up 112.2 rush yards per game and have 18 total rushing TDs.
If 2019 results can translate to this game, then it seems like the Packers could hold an advantage along both the offensive and defensive fronts, since their offensive line has yielded just 36 sacks while their D-line has logged 41 sacks. The Seahawks offensive line has allowed 49 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 35 occasions.
The Seahawks offensive scheme has averaged 260.9 yards through the air overall and has 32 passing TDs so far. The Packers have recorded 251.1 pass yards per game and have 26 total pass scores.
Seattle has let opponents rush for an average of 117.8 yards and pass for 269.6 yards per game. The Green Bay D has allowed 251 yards per game to opposing passers and 120.1 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Seahawks have given up an ANY/A of 6.12 to opposing QBs, while the Packers are yielding an ANY/A of 5.68.
Offensively, Wilson has amassed 4,202 passing yards this year, and has connected on 66 percent of his 506 attempts with 30 scores through the air and only five interceptions. Wilson has a 7.69 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.35 over the last two outings.
As a group, DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett and Travis Homer have collectively accounted for 463 total yards and three touchdowns over the last two outings.
On the other sideline, Aaron Rodgers has completed 327-of-529 passes for 3,786 yards, 26 TDs and three INTs. Rodgers’ ANY/A stands at 6.95 for the season and 4.66 over his past two outings.
Aaron Jones (930 rushing yards, 14 rush TDs, 468 receiving yards, three receiving touchdowns on the year), Davante Adams (881 receiving yards, five receiving TDs) and Allen Lazard (432 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) have combined for 626 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns over the last two games.
Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers Free Prediction
SU Winner: Packers, ATS Winner: Seahawks, O/U: Under
Betting Notes
- The Seahawks have made 26 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Packers have produced 22 such plays.
- The Seattle defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Green Bay has given up 13 such plays.
- The Seattle offense has created 13 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Green Bay has created seven such runs.
- The Seahawks defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Packers have given up eight such runs.
- The Green Bay defense has sacked opposing QBs 41 times this season. Seattle has registered just 35 sacks.
- Seattle, as a team, has produced 3.7 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.4 over its last two.
- Green Bay has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.9 over its last two.
- In its last three matchups, Green Bay is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- The O/U for Seattle’s last game was 42.5. The under cashed in the team’s 17-9 victory over Philadelphia.
- In its last three matchups, Seattle is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Green Bay’s last game was set at 43.5. The under cashed in the 23-20 win over Detroit.
