Week 15 Free Betting Prediction – Washington Redskins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

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The Washington Redskins (+7) are set to face off against the Jacksonville Jaguars (-7) at EverBank Field. This early afternoon matchup will get underway at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to CBS.

Betting Preview: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Washington Redskins

Washington is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 7 points. The Redskins are also receiving +230 moneyline odds while the Jaguars are -280. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 36 points. If Jacksonville falls behind in the early stages, it’ll likely create a worthwhile in-game betting scenario.

This game’s opening line was -7. The O/U hasn’t changed since it opened at 36.

The Redskins are 7-6 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.9 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 6-7.

The lackluster Jaguars have lost 9.7 units this season. They’re 4-7-2 ATS and also own an O/U record of 6-7.

The Redskins are 6-7 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Jaguars are 4-9 SU.

The Redskins fell to the Giants 40-16 in a Week 14 thumping where the Redskins completed 17-of-30 passes for 233 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Josh Johnson went 11-for-16 for 195 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Mark Sanchez completed six-of-14 for 38 yards and two interceptions. Adrian Peterson (16 yards on 10 rush attempts) mounted the ground attack. Josh Doctson (four receptions, 84 yards) and Vernon Davis (four catches, 31 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

In Week 14, Tennessee knocked off this Jacksonville crew by a score of 30-9. The Jags defense let the Titans rush for 264 yards on 32 attempts, including four rush TDs. Derrick Henry was outstanding, putting up 238 rushing yards and four touchdowns on 17 attempts for the Titans. For Jacksonville, Cody Kessler completed 25-of-43 passes for 240 yards and one touchdown. Leonard Fournette (36 rushing yards on 14 attempts) led the running game while Dede Westbrook (seven receptions, 88 yards, one TD) and Donte Moncrief (five catches, 47 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Breaking down the offensive play-calling, each team sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Washington’s run the ball on 43.6 percent of its offensive possessions while Jacksonville has an overall rush percentage of 42.3. The Redskins have run for 114.1 yards/game and have 12 scores on the ground this year. The Jags are putting up 107.3 rush yards per game and have six total rushing TDs.

The Redskins offensive scheme has averaged 221.9 yards through the air overall and has 14 passing scores so far. The Jags have produced 240.2 pass yards per contest and have 15 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Washington has allowed opponents to run for an average of 112.3 yards and pass for 275.4 yards per game. The Jacksonville D has given up 217.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 120.4 yards per game to opposing runners. The Jags are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.65 to opponents, while the Redskins have allowed a 6.52 ANY/A.

Johnson probably has the advantage over Kessler in this matchup, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 10.63for the season. Kessler’s ANY/A is 3.93 for the year and 4.69 over his last two games.

Washington Redskins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Pick

SU Winner: Jaguars, ATS Winner: Jaguars, O/U: Over

Betting Notes

  • The Washington D has 34 sacks on the year while Jacksonville has just 25.
  • Jacksonville has lost 13 fumbles this season while Washington has let four get away.
  • The Redskins offense has produced five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Jaguars have accounted for three such plays.
  • The Washington defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40+ yards, while Jacksonville has given up four such plays.
  • Both defenses have produced six rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Washington offense has recorded 41 running plays of 10+ yards while Jacksonville has accounted for 37 such plays.
  • The Redskins defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Jaguars have given up nine such runs.
  • Washington has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a 13-point win over Tampa Bay on November 11th accounting for the only victory over that span.
  • Washington has averaged 4.8 yards per rush attempt over its last three contests and 5.2 over its last two.
  • Jacksonville has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.0 over its past two.