Week 15 Free Betting Pick: New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens

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The New York Jets and Baltimore Ravens are set to face off on the grass at M&T Bank Stadium. The Thursday matchup is scheduled to be broadcast nationally on FOX and the opening kickoff is slated for 8:20 p.m. ET.

Thursday NightBetting Preview: New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens

In this Thursday AFC game, Baltimore is getting picked as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 15 points. If they want to play the moneyline, bettors would currently have to wager $1,000 in order to win $100 back on the Ravens (-1000). The Jets are getting +600 moneyline odds. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 44 points, and if one side gets out in front in the early stages, it will likely create a decent betting opportunity in-game.

The line opened at -14. The game’s over/under hasn’t changed since it opened at 44.

The Jets are down 2.4 units so far in 2019 and 5-7 against the spread (ATS). The team’s recorded an Over-Under mark of 6-6.

The surprising Ravens are up 6.8 units this season. They’re 6-5-1 ATS and the over has hit in seven of their games.

The Jets are just 5-8 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Ravens are 11-2 SU.

The Jets just got a 22-21 victory over Miami last week. The Jets defense allowed the Dolphins to rush for 122 yards on 26 attempts. On the offensive side, Sam Darnold completed just 20 passes on 36 attempts for 270 yards, two scores and one interception. Bilal Powell (74 yards on 19 rush attempts) led the ground attack while Robby Anderson (seven receptions, 116 yards, one TD) and Montgomery (three catches, 30 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Baltimore just earned a 24-17 win over Buffalo a week ago. Lamar Jackson completed 16-of-25 passes for 145 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Mark Ingram II (50 yards on 15 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Jackson (40 yards on 11 carries) spearheaded the running attack while Willie Snead IV (three receptions, 13 yards, one TD) and Hayden Hurst (three catches, 73 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

New York has run the ball on 41.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Baltimore has an overall rush percentage of 56.8 percent. The Jets have run for 75.6 yards per game and have six scores on the ground this year. The Ravens are totaling 200.9 rush yards per game and have 18 total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Ravens could have the edge when it comes to quarterback protection. Their offensive line has given up only 24 sacks while the D-line has logged 33 sacks. The Jets offensive line has given up 47 sacks and their defense has got to opposing signal-callerss on just 29 occasions.

The Jets offensive scheme has averaged 218.7 yards in the air overall and has 15 passing scores so far. The Ravens have produced 215.7 pass yards per game and have 29 total pass TDs.

Defensively, New York has allowed 78.8 rush yards and 256.8 pass yards per game. The Baltimore D has given up 236.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 95.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Ravens are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.28 to opponents, while the Jets have given up a 6.17 ANY/A.

Jackson has managed to complete 216-of-324 passes for 2,572 yards, 27 TDs and six INTs for Baltimore. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 7.93 for the season and 5.58 over his last two outings. In the other huddle, Darnold is up to 2,185 passing yards on the year, and has completed 188-of-299 attempts with 15 passing touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Darnold has a 5.70 ANY/A, including 5.24 over the last two outings.

New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens Free NFL Tip

SU Winner: Ravens, ATS Winner: Ravens, O/U: Over

Betting Notes

  • The Baltimore defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 33 times this year. New York has recorded 29 sacks.
  • Baltimore has lost five fumbles this season while New York has lost seven.
  • The Jets offense has created four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Ravens have put up eight such plays.
  • The New York defense has allowed six pass plays of 40+ yards, while Baltimore has given up seven such plays.
  • The New York offense has created one rushing play of 20+ yards, while Baltimore has created 16 such runs.
  • The Jets defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Ravens have given up seven such runs.
  • New York has won five of its last six games SU, with a 16-point loss to Cincinnati on December 1st accounting for the only defeat over that stretch.
  • New York, as a team, has produced 3.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.6 over its last two.
  • Baltimore has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.2 over its past two.