Week 15 Free Betting Pick – Miami Dolphins at New York Giants

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Two franchises that prefer to pass the ball, the Miami Dolphins (+4) are set to face off against the New York Giants (-4) at MetLife Stadium. CBS owns the TV rights and the game is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.

Week 15 Betting Preview: New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins head into this Sunday game as the dog here and are currently receiving 4 points. The Dolphins are also receiving +140 moneyline odds while the Giants are -160. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 48 points. Based on how it’s shaping up, there should be some decent live betting opportunities in this game.

The line opened at -3 while the O/U hasn’t changed since it opened at 48.

The Dolphins are 7-6 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.4 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U mark of 6-7.

The Giants have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 7.5 units. They’re 4-8 ATS and have an O/U record of 7-5.

The Dolphins are 3-10 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Giants are 2-11 SU.

The Dolphins look to bounce back after a narrow 22-21 loss to the Jets in Week 14. Ryan Fitzpatrick completed just 21 passes on 37 attempts for 245 yards and one interception. Patrick Laird (48 yards on 15 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Fitzpatrick (65 yards on seven carries) led the ground attack. Isaiah Ford (six receptions, 92 yards) and Allen Hurns (five catches, 68 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

In Week 14, Philadelphia knocked off this New York crew by a score of 23-17. Eli Manning completed 15-of-30 passes for 203 yards and two touchdowns. Saquon Barkley (66 yards on 17 rush attempts) handled the running attack while Darius Slayton (five receptions, 154 yards, two TDs) and Sterling Shepard (four catches, 28 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Each team sports a remarkably similar (64-36 pass-to-run ratio on the season. The Dolphins have produced 67.3 rush yards per game and have eight touchdowns on the ground this year. The G-Men are putting up 93.8 rush yards per game and have six total rushing TDs.

If the results so far this season are any indication, then it seems like the G-Men should own the edge when it comes to effectiveness in the ground game. Their backfield has produced 4.3 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 3.8 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Dolphins have ran for 3.3 yards per carry while allowing 4.6 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Dolphins offensive scheme has averaged 236.8 yards in the air overall and has 15 passing TDs so far. The G-Men have recorded 241 pass yards per contest and have 22 total pass scores.

Miami has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 141.1 yards and pass for 265.5 yards per game. The New York defense has allowed 277 yards per game to opposing passers and 114.5 yards per game on the ground. The G-Men are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.37 to opposing QBs, while the Dolphins have given up a 7.93 ANY/A.

Jones has connected on 228-of-370 passes for 2,374 yards, 18 TDs and 11 INTs for New York. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 4.90 for the year and 3.38 over his last two outings. In the other huddle, Fitzpatrick is up to 2,146 passing yards this season, and has completed 202-of-329 attempts with 10 passing touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Fitzpatrick’s got a 4.74 ANY/A for the year, although that number is 6.91 over the past two games.

Miami Dolphins at New York Giants Betting Prediction

SU Winner: Dolphins, ATS Winner: Dolphins, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • The New York defense has registered 29 sacks on the year while Miami has just 17.
  • New York has lost 15 fumbles this season while Miami has let seven get away.
  • The Dolphins offense has recorded six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Giants have put up nine such plays.
  • The Miami defense has allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards, while New York has given up 14 such plays.
  • The Miami offense has created two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while New York has created eight such runs.
  • The Dolphins defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Giants have given up 10 such runs.
  • Miami has produced 4.1 yards per carry across its past three games and 3.9 over its last two.
  • New York has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.6 over its past two.