Week 14 Free Betting Pick: Dallas Cowboys vs. Chicago Bears

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The Dallas Cowboys (-3) are set to face off against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. This Thursday game will be nationally-televised on FOX and the opening kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET.

Thursday Night FootballBetting Preview: Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys

In this Thursday NFC matchup, Dallas is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The Cowboys are also receiving -150 moneyline odds while the Bears are +130. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 43 points, and if one team can find paydirt early, it’ll probably lead to a solid in-game betting opportunity.

The game’s total has been driven higher after opening at 42.5. The original line (3) has remained firm.

The Cowboys have lost 5.8 units so far and are 7-5 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 7-5.

The Bears have lost 3.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-9 ATS and own an O/U record of 4-8.

The Cowboys are 6-6 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Bears are also 6-6 SU.

Dallas enters this matchup on a two-game winning streak while Chicago has lost its last two in a row. The Cowboys fell to Buffalo 26-15 in a Week 13 game where Dak Prescott completed 32-of-49 passes for 355 yards, two scores and one interception. Ezekiel Elliott (71 rushing yards on 12 attempts) led the ground attack. Amari Cooper (eight receptions, 85 yards) and Elliott (seven catches, 66 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Chicago enters this one having just earned a 24-20 win over Detroit last week. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Lions to run for 105 yards on 27 rush attempts. Kenny Golladay was a force to be reckoned with, recording 158 yards on four catches for Detroit. For Chicago, Mitchell Trubisky completed 29-of-38 passes for 338 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. David Montgomery (75 rushing yards on 16 attempts) handled the running attack while Anthony Miller (nine receptions, 140 yards) and Allen Robinson II (eight catches, 86 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Dallas has run the ball on 42.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Chicago has an overall rush percentage of 39.5 percent. The Cowboys have run for 127.6 yards per game and have 12 scores on the ground this year. The Bears are totaling 79.3 rush yards per game and have six total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Cowboys might have the more disruptive lines up front, since their offensive line has allowed just 56 sacks while the D-line registered 39 sacks. The Bears, on the other hand, have allowed 33 sacks and their defense has recorded only 50 sacks.

The Cowboys offensive scheme has logged 315.7 yards per game through the air overall and has 23 passing scores so far. The Bears have put up 219.3 pass yards per outing and have 16 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Dallas has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 106.4 yards and throw for 235.1 yards per game. The Chicago defense has allowed 240.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 97.5 yards per game on the ground. The Bears are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.54 to opponents, while the Cowboys have allowed a 6.08 ANY/A.

Offensively, Prescott has already put up 3,576 passing yards this year. He’s completed 67 percent of his 414 attempts with 23 scores through the air and 10 interceptions. Prescott has an 8.05 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 5.64 over the last two outings.

On the other sideline, Mitchell Trubisky has managed to complete 205-of-320 passes for 1,918 yards, 12 TDs and five INTs. Trubisky’s ANY/A sits at 5.19 for the season and 6.66 over his last two games.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Chicago Bears Free Betting Pick

SU Winner: Cowboys, ATS Winner: Bears, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • Dallas has rushed for 4.2 yards per attempt over its past three games and 4.7 over its last two.
  • Chicago has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.1 over its last two.
  • The Chicago offense has lost four fumbles this season while Dallas has lost five.
  • Dallas has lost four of its last five games SU, with an eight-point win over Detroit on November 17th representing the only victory over that stretch.
  • The Cowboys offense has registered 11 pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Bears have accounted for two such plays.
  • The Dallas defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Chicago has given up five such plays.
  • The Dallas offense has created five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Chicago has created three such runs.
  • Both teams have allowed five rushing plays of 20+ yards. The Cowboys have given up 36 running plays of 10+ yards while the Bears have given up 26 such plays.
  • The Dallas defense has sacked opposing QBs 32 times this year. Chicago has produced 28 sacks.