The Washington Redskins and Philadelphia Eagles are set to face off on the grass at Lincoln Financial Field. This Monday Night showdown gets going at 8:15 p.m. ET and ESPN has the TV rights.
Thursday NightBetting Preview: Washington Redskins vs. Philadelphia Eagles
In this early-week NFC game, Philadelphia has been projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 6 points. The Redskins are also receiving +190 moneyline odds while the Eagles are -230. If one team can get out in front early on it’ll produce a worthy betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 43.5 points.
The early action has been slanting toward the Redskins. The line initially opened at -7 while the game’s total was originally 44.
The Redskins have recorded 0.1 units so far and are 7-4 against the spread (ATS). The team’s recorded an O/U mark of 5-6.
The Eagles have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 5.7 units. They’re 3-8 ATS and have an O/U record of 4-7.
The Redskins are 6-5 straight up (SU), including 2-1 SU against NFC East opponents. The Eagles are 5-6 SU overall and also 2-1 SU against divisional foes.
The Redskins came up short to Dallas 31-23 in a Week 12 contest where their defense allowed the Cowboys to eat up the clock by running for 146 yards on 34 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. On the offensive side of the ball, Colt McCoy completed 24-of-38 passes for 268 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Adrian Peterson (35 yards on 12 rush attempts) mounted the running attack. Jordan Reed (six receptions, 75 yards) and Josh Doctson (six catches, 66 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Philadelphia is coming off of a 25-22 win over the Giants in Week 12. Carson Wentz completed 20-of-28 passes for 236 yards and one touchdown. Josh Adams (84 yards on 22 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the running game as Zach Ertz (seven receptions, 91 yards, one TD) and Golden Tate (four catches, 30 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Washington’s run the ball on 44.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Philadelphia has a rush percentage of 39.1 percent. The Redskins have run for 117.7 yards per game (including 130.7 per game against East opponents) and have 10 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Eagles are averaging 100.8 rushing yards per game (102.0 in conference) and have eight total rush TDs.
If 2018 numbers can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the Redskins may be the more disruptive team in the trenches, as their offensive line has given up only 41 sacks while the D-line registered 42 sacks. The Eagles offensive line has allowed 36 sacks and their defense has logged only 38 sacks.
The Redskins offensive scheme has logged 227.5 yards/game in the air overall (208.0 per game versus conference opposition) and has 13 passing TDs so far. The Eagles have put up 273.3 pass yards per contest (291 against NFC competition) and have 17 total pass scores.
Defensively, Washington has let opponents run for an average of 100.3 yards and pass for 279.7 yards per game. The Philadelphia D has allowed 294.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 103.6 yards per game on the ground. The Redskins are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.41 to opposing QBs, while the Eagles have given up a 6.97 ANY/A.
Offensively, McCoy has amassed 268 passing yards this year. He’s completed 63 percent of his 38 attempts with two scores through the air and three interceptions. He has a 3.80 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 3.95 over the last two outings.
Look for a balanced attack offensively from Washington in this one. As a group, Jordan Reed, Josh Doctson and Adrian Peterson have combined for 339 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns over the last two outings.
Carson Wentz has managed to complete 211-of-297 passes for 2,384 yards, 16 TDs and three INTs for Philadelphia. His ANY/A sits at 7.40 for the season and 3.54 across his past two games.
We expect the Eagles to control the game’s pace by feeding the running backs early and often. Along with TE Zach Ertz (880 receiving yards, six receiving TDs this season), Josh Adams (238 rush yards, one rush TD) and Corey Clement (225 rush yards, two rush TDs, 141 receiving yards) have been focal points in the Philadelphia offense.
Washington Redskins vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Prediction
SU Winner: Eagles, ATS Winner: Eagles, O/U: Over
Betting Notes
- Philadelphia has lost nine fumbles this season while Washington has let four get away.
- The Washington defensive unit has 32 sacks on the year while Philadelphia has 28.
- Washington, as a team, has rushed for 4.3 yards per attempt over its last three outings and 4.2 over its last two.
- Philadelphia has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.5 over its last two.
- Over its last three matches, Philadelphia is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Washington’s last game was set at 40. The over cashed in the team’s 31-23 loss to Dallas.
- In its last three games, Washington is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Philadelphia’s previous outing going into it was 49. The under cashed in the team’s 25-22 victory over the Giants.
- Washington has lost four of its last five games SU, with a 13-point win over Tampa Bay on November 11th representing the only victory over that stretch.
