Week 13 Free Betting Preview – New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans

betdsiArticles, Football, NFL

The New York Jets (+9) are set to take on the Tennessee Titans (-9) at Nissan Stadium. This late afternoon matchup kicks off at 4:05 p.m. ET and CBS is in line to broadcast the action.

Betting Preview: New York Jets at Tennessee Titans

New York is a live dog and is currently getting 9 points in this Sunday AFC matchup. If they are wanting to take the moneyline, bettors would currently need to wager $400 in order to win $100 back on the Titans (-400). The Jets are getting +300 moneyline odds. If one side can get out in front early on it will produce a reasonable live betting opportunity. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 40 points.

The total hasn’t moved after it was initially posted at 40. Having said that, the opening line was -10 so the early action has been swaying to the Jets.

The underwhelming Jets are 3-8 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 6.0 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 6-5.

The Titans have gained 1.9 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 6-5 ATS and own an O/U record of 4-7.

The Jets are 3-8 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Titans are 5-6 SU.

The Jets fell to New England 27-13 in a Week 12 matchup where their defense allowed the Patriots to run for 215 yards on 36 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Sony Michel had a good day for the Patriots in that one with 133 rushing yards and a score on 21 attempts. On the offensive side of the ball, Josh McCown completed 26-of-45 passes for 276 yards, along with one TD and an interception. Isaiah Crowell (30 rushing yards on six attempts) mounted the running attack while Chris Herndon (seven receptions, 57 yards) and Jermaine Kearse (six catches, 66 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Tennessee just fell 34-17 to Houston a week ago. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Texans to run for 281 yards on 34 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Lamar Miller was outstanding, putting up 162 rushing yards and a score on 12 attempts for the Texans. For Tennessee, Marcus Mariota completed 22-of-23 passes for 303 yards and two touchdowns. Derrick Henry (30 rushing yards on eight attempts) handled the running game as Lewis (seven receptions, 33 yards) and Corey Davis (four catches, 96 yards, one TD) led the receiving attack in the loss.

New York’s run the ball on 42.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tennessee has an overall rush percentage of 50.7 percent. The Jets have rushed for 104.3 yards per game and have seven touchdowns on the ground this year. The Titans are putting up 111.1 rushing yards per game and have seven total rush TDs.

The Jets offense has tallied 213.2 yards per game through the air overall and has 12 passing scores so far. The Titans have put up 212.8 pass yards per contest and also have 12 total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, New York has allowed 128.2 rush yards and 262.2 pass yards per game. The Tennessee D has allowed 244.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 116.5 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Jets have given up an ANY/A of 6.33 to opposing QBs, while the Titans are yielding an ANY/A of 6.70.

Offensively, McCown has put up 276 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 26-of-45 attempts with one scores through the air and one interception. McCown’s got a 5.09 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 3.15 over the last two outings.

We expect the New York offense to mix it up in this one. Isaiah Crowell (563 rushing yards, five rush TDs, 123 receiving yards this season), Chris Herndon (280 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Quincy Enunwa (400 receiving yards, one TD) have all played big roles of late.

In the other huddle, Marcus Mariota has managed to complete 158-of-226 passes for 1,801 yards, nine TDs and five INTs. Mariota’s ANY/A stands at 6.09 for the year and 6.98 over his past two outings.

Expect Mariota to spread the ball around early and often in this one. Corey Davis (672 receiving yards and three receiving TDs this season), Jonnu Smith (185 receiving yards, three receiving TDs), and Anthony Firkser (88 receiving yards) have collectively put up 329 receiving yards and two scores over the last two games.

New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Prediction

SU Winner: Titans, ATS Winner: Jets, O/U: Under

Betting Notes

  • The Tennessee offense has lost five fumbles this season while New York has lost six.
  • The Tennessee defense has registered 27 sacks on the year while New York has 22.
  • New York, as a team, has rushed for 4.4 yards per attempt across its past three games and 4.8 over its last two.
  • Tennessee has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.0 over its past two.
  • In its last three games, Tennessee is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for New York’s previous game was set at 47. The under cashed in the team’s 27-13 defeat to New England.
  • In its last three games, New York is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Tennessee’s previous game was 42.5. The over cashed in that 34-17 loss to Houston.