Week 13 Free ATS Pick: Washington Redskins vs. Carolina Panthers

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The Washington Redskins and Carolina Panthers will go head-to-head on the grass of Bank of America Stadium. This early afternoon game starts at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to CBS. When the two teams met last year, Washington beat Carolina by a pair of field goals 23-17.

Week 13 Betting Preview: Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Redskins

In this Sunday NFC game, Carolina is getting picked as the heavy favorite and the team’s currently giving up 10 points. The Redskins are also receiving +325 moneyline odds while the Panthers are -475. If one team can get out in front early it would create a solid in-game betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 40.5 points.

The sharp action has been siding with the Panthers. The line initially opened at -9 and the game’s O/U was placed originally at 41.

The Redskins have lost 4.7 units so far and are 4-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 4-7.

The Panthers have lost 2.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 6-5 ATS and own an O/U record of 7-4.

The Redskins are 2-9 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Panthers are 5-6 SU.

The Redskins enter after a 19-16 win over Detroit in Week 12Their defense allowed the Lions to run for 175 yards on 32 rush attempts. Bo Scarbrough had a productive day for the Lions in that one with 98 rushing yards on 18 attempts. On the offense, Dwayne Haskins Jr. completed only 13 passes on 29 attempts for 156 yards and one interception. Adrian Peterson (just 27 yards on 10 rush attempts) and Derrius Guice (32 yards on 10 carries) led the ground attack while Terry McLaurin (five receptions, 72 yards) and Kelvin Harmon (three catches, 43 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Carolina narrowly lost a 34-31 game to New Orleans last week. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Saints to pass for 311 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 118 yards. Alvin Kamara had a solid showing for New Orleans, accounting for 54 rushing yards on 11 attempts, along with 48 yards on nine catches. For Carolina, Kyle Allen completed 23-of-36 passes for 256 yards and three touchdowns. Christian McCaffrey had a monster statline in the loss. In addition to 64 rushing yards on 22 attempts (and one TD), McCaffrey also reeled in nine catches for 69 yards and one TD.

Each of these squads has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Washington has run the ball on 41.5 percent of its offensive possessions while Carolina has a rush percentage of 40.2. The Redskins have produced 85.9 rush yards/game and have two scores on the ground this year. The Panthers are logging 125.5 rushing yards per game and have 15 total rush TDs.

The Redskins offense has logged 192.6 yards per game through the air overall and has 11 passing TDs so far. The Panthers have produced 250.1 pass yards per game and have 13 total pass scores.

Defensively, Washington has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 137.6 yards and pass for 245.4 yards per game. The Carolina D has given up 260.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 127.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Panthers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.29 to opponents, while the Redskins have allowed a 6.38 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Haskins Jr. is up to 440 yards this season, and has connected on 40-of-73 attempts with zero scores through the air and five interceptions. Haskins Jr.’s got a 1.62 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 3.63 over the past two outings.

Terry McLaurin (569 receiving yards, five receiving touchdowns on the year), Derrius Guice (50 rush yards, 26 receiving yards) and Kelvin Harmon (118 receiving yards) have each played key roles lately.

In the other huddle, Kyle Allen has connected on 167-of-270 passes for 1,854 yards, 13 TDs and five INTs. Allen’s ANY/A stands at 5.63 for the season and 4.00 over his last two outings.

We also expect the Carolina offense to try for a balanced attack this Sunday. Christian McCaffrey (1,053 rushing yards, 12 rush TDs, 465 receiving yards, four receiving touchdowns this season), DJ Moore (810 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Greg Olsen (473 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) have combined for 654 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns over the last two games.

Washington Redskins vs. Carolina Panthers Free Betting Pick

SU Winner: Panthers, ATS Winner: Panthers, O/U: Under

Betting Trends

  • The Carolina offense has lost 10 fumbles this season while Washington has lost six.
  • The Carolina D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 41 times this year. Washington has registered just 29 sacks.
  • Washington has averaged 4.0 yards per carry across its last three outings and 3.2 over its last two.
  • Carolina has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.5 over its last two.
  • In its last three matches, Carolina is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Washington’s last game was 38.5. The under cashed in the team’s 19-16 victory over Detroit.
  • Over its last three games, Washington is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Carolina’s previous outing was set at 46.5. The over cashed in the 34-31 loss to New Orleans.
  • Carolina has lost five of its last six games SU, with a 10-point victory over Tennessee on November 3rd accounting for its only win over that stretch.