The Green Bay Packers (-6.5) and New York Giants are set to square off on the turf at MetLife Stadium. FOX is scheduled to broadcast the action and this early afternoon game kicks off at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants
New York enters this NFC game as the underdog and is currently getting 6.5 points. The Packers are also receiving -260 moneyline odds while the Giants are +220. If one side can create a bunch of points early it’ll result in a worthy live betting scenario. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 46 points.
The sharp action has been siding with both the G-Men and the under. This opening line was originally set at 7.5 while the total was initially 47.
The surprising Packers are 7-4 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 4.3 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 5-6.
The underwhelming Giants have lost 6.5 units this season. They’re 4-7 ATS and have an O/U record of 6-5.
The Packers have gone 8-3 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Giants are 2-9 SU.
The Packers dropped one to San Francisco 37-8 in a Week 12 thumping where their defense allowed the 49ers to run for 112 yards on 22 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. George Kittle had a productive day for the 49ers in that one with 129 yards and a score on six catches. On the offensive side, Aaron Rodgers completed 20 passes for just 104 yards and one touchdown. Aaron Jones (only 38 rushing yards on 13 attempts) and Jamaal Williams (45 yards on 11 carries) led the running attack while Williams (seven receptions, 35 yards) and Davante Adams (seven catches, 43 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
New York just lost a 19-14 game to Chicago last week. The defensive secondary let the Bears air it out for 278 yards. Allen Robinson II put up a solid outing, recording 131 yards on six catches for Chicago. For New York, Daniel Jones completed 21-of-36 passes for 150 yards and two touchdowns. Saquon Barkley (59 yards on 17 rush attempts) led the running game while Kaden Smith (five receptions, 17 yards, one TD) and Sterling Shepard (five catches, 15 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Green Bay’s run the ball on 41.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New York has a rush percentage of 35.8 percent. The Packers have produced 103.5 rush yards per game and have 13 scores on the ground this year. The G-Men are logging 95.5 rushing yards per game and have six total rush TDs.
If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then the G-Men should hold an edge in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has generated 4.5 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 3.9 YPC to opponents. The Packers have ran for 4.2 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.8 to opponents.
The Packers offensive scheme has tallied 257.9 yards/contest through the air overall and has 18 passing TDs so far. The G-Men have produced 244.5 pass yards per contest and have 19 total pass scores.
On the defensive side of the ball, Green Bay has allowed 125.5 rush yards and 273.5 pass yards per game. The New York defense has given up 275.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 117.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Packers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 6.78 to opponents, while the G-Men have allowed a 7.29 ANY/A.
Offensively, Rodgers has amassed 2,589 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 65 percent of his 351 attempts with 18 passing scores and only two interceptions. He has a 7.05 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 4.51 over the past two outings.
The Packers have tried to control tempo by feeding their running backs early and often. In addition to wideout Davante Adams (462 receiving yards and one touchdown), Jamaal Williams (273 rush yards, one rush TD, 201 receiving yards, five receiving TDs) and Aaron Jones (534 rush yards, eight rush TDs, three receiving TDs) have delivered in the Green Bay offensive scheme.
Daniel Jones has completed 182-of-293 passes for 1,826 yards, 13 TDs and eight INTs for New York. His ANY/A sits at a less-than-ideal 4.73 for the season and 6.17 over his last two outings.
The G-Men should also look to control the clock by turning to their backfield. In addition to Darius Slayton (340 receiving yards, three receiving TDs), Golden Tate (16 rush yards, 355 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Saquon Barkley (460 rush yards, two rush TDs, 229 receiving yards, one TD) have seen a lot of action lately.
Green Bay Packers at New York Giants Free NFL Tip
SU Winner: Packers, ATS Winner: Packers, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The Packers offense has created nine pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Giants have accounted for six such plays.
- The Green Bay defense has allowed 11 pass plays of 40+ yards, while New York has given up 13 such plays.
- The Green Bay offense has created three rushing plays of 20+ yards, while New York has created eight such runs.
- The Packers defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Giants have given up nine such runs.
- The Green Bay defense has 28 sacks on the year while New York has 26.
- As a team, Green Bay has averaged 4.9 yards per carry across its past three games and 5.1 over its last two.
- New York has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.5 over its past two.
- Over its last three games, New York is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Green Bay’s last game was 48. The under cashed in the team’s 37-8 loss to San Francisco.
- Over its last three matches, Green Bay is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- The Over/Under for New York’s last matchup was set at 41. The under cashed in that 19-14 defeat to Chicago.
