Week 13 Betting Free Pick – San Francisco 49ers at Baltimore Ravens

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Two clubs that like to feature their running games, Head Coach John Harbaugh and the Baltimore Ravens (-5) are set to play host to the San Francisco 49ers at M&T Bank Stadium. This vital early afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 1:00 p.m. ET and FOX will showcase the action.

Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens vs. San Francisco 49ers

In this Sunday game, Baltimore has been tabbed as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 5 points. The 49ers are also receiving +160 moneyline odds while the Ravens are -180. This matchup should provide several decent live betting possibilities, and oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 46 points.

Each team has been profitable this season as the 49ers have recorded 7.7 units while the Ravens are ahead 4.8 units.

The 49ers are 10-1 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Ravens are 9-2 SU.

The Niners are coming off a resounding 37-8 victory over Green Bay last week in which Jimmy Garoppolo completed 14 passes for 253 yards and two touchdowns. Tevin Coleman (39 yards on 11 rush attempts, one TD) led the running attack while George Kittle (six receptions, 129 yards, one TD) and Deebo Samuel (two catches, 50 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties in the win.

Baltimore just earned a 45-6 win over the Rams a week ago. Lamar Jackson completed 15-of-20 passes for 169 yards and five touchdowns. Mark Ingram II (111 rushing yards on 15 attempts, one TD) and Gus Edwards (55 yards on 14 carries) mounted the running game while Marquise Brown (five receptions, 42 yards, two TDs) and Seth Roberts (three catches, 39 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

San Francisco’s run the ball on 52.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Baltimore has a rush percentage of 56.3 percent. The 49ers have produced 145.6 rush yards/game and have 15 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Ravens are totaling 210.5 rush yards per game and have 17 total rushing TDs.

If the numbers so far this season are any indication, then it’s looking like the Ravens may hold an advantage in terms of RB efficiency. Their backfield has logged 5.7 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 4.3 to opponents. The 49ers have registered 4.3 yards per carry while allowing 4.7 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Niners offense has logged 249.7 yards per contest in the air overall and has 20 passing scores so far. The Ravens have produced 232.2 pass yards per game and have 25 total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, San Francisco seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 111.1 rush yards and 168.5 pass yards per game. The Baltimore defense has allowed 251.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 87.7 yards per game to opposing runners. The Niners are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.29 to opposing QBs, while the Ravens have given up a 5.42 ANY/A.

Offensively, Garoppolo is up to 2,307 passing yards this year, and has completed 198-of-292 attempts with 16 passing scores and eight interceptions. He has a 6.86 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 9.50 over the past two games.

We expect the San Francisco offense to mix it up in this one. Deebo Samuel, George Kittle and Tevin Coleman have combined to account for 424 total yards and three touchdowns as a trio over the last two outings.

For the home team, Lamar Jackson has managed to complete 183-of-275 passes for 2,205 yards, 20 TDs and five INTs. Jackson’s ANY/A stands at 7.73 for the year and 12.22 over his past two games.

We’re expecting the Ravens to control the game’s pace by getting the ball in the hands of their running backs. Along with QB Lamar Jackson (zero receiving yards this season), Mark Ingram II (730 rush yards, nine rush TDs, 132 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Gus Edwards (333 rush yards, one rush TD) have really been key factors in the Baltimore offense.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Pick

SU Winner: Ravens, ATS Winner: 49ers, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • The 49ers offense has produced five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Ravens have put up seven such plays.
  • The San Francisco defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Baltimore has given up seven such plays.
  • The San Francisco offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Baltimore has created 16 such runs.
  • The 49ers defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Ravens have given up four such runs.
  • The San Francisco defensive unit has 44 sacks on the year while Baltimore has just 25.
  • As a team, San Francisco has rushed for 3.4 yards per attempt across its past three games and 3.6 over its last two.
  • Baltimore has averaged 6.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 6.4 over its last two.