The Philadelphia Eagles (-8.5) are traveling south to face the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium. This early afternoon game starts at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to the action on FOX.
Betting Preview: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Miami Dolphins
Miami is entering this game as a big underdog and is currently being given 8.5 points. The Eagles are also receiving -350 moneyline odds while the Dolphins are +270. If one team can catch a lucky break early it will result in a solid betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 46 points.
Sharp bettors are leaning toward the Eagles. This opening line was originally set at 7.5 while the game’s over/under was initially 46.5.
The Eagles are 4-7 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.5 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 5-6.
The Dolphins have lost 0.8 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-6 ATS and also have an O/U record of 5-6.
The Eagles have gone 5-6 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Dolphins are 2-9 SU.
Both teams come into the matchup on two-game losing skids. The Eagles are looking to get back on track after a 17-9 loss to Seattle last weekTheir defense allowed the Seahawks to run for 174 yards on 26 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Rashaad Penny logged a productive day for the Seahawks in that one with 129 rushing yards and a score on 14 attempts. Offensively, Carson Wentz completed 33 passes on 45 attempts for 256 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Miles Sanders (63 rushing yards on 12 attempts) led the ground attack while Zach Ertz (12 receptions, 91 yards, one TD) and Dallas Goedert (seven catches, 32 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.
Back in Week 12, Cleveland got the win against this Miami crew by a score of 41-24. The Dolphins defense allowed the Browns to pass for 327 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 147 yards and two scores. Nick Chubb was on a different level for Cleveland, recording 106 rushing yards and a score on 21 attempts, along with 58 yards on three catches. For Miami, Ryan Fitzpatrick completed 21-of-39 passes for 214 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Kalen Ballage (13 rushing yards on seven attempts) handled the running attack as DeVante Parker (six receptions, 91 yards) and Albert Wilson (six catches, 33 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Philadelphia has run the ball on 44.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Miami has a rush percentage of 35.6 percent. The Eagles have run for 121.2 yards per game and have 10 scores on the ground this year. The Dolphins are totaling 63.2 rushing yards per game and have seven total rush TDs.
If the results so far this season are any indication, then it’s looking like the Eagles ought to own an advantage in terms of RB effectiveness, since their backfield has logged 4.2 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 4.1 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Dolphins have recorded 3.1 yards per carry and allowed 4.7 YPC to opponents.
The Eagles offense has tallied 232.2 yards/game through the air overall and has 17 passing TDs so far. The Dolphins have recorded 224.4 pass yards per outing and have 11 total pass scores.
On the defensive side of the ball, Philadelphia has allowed 94 rush yards and 249.1 pass yards per game. The Miami D has allowed 261.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 148.2 yards per game to opposing runners. The Eagles are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.06 to opponents, while the Dolphins have allowed an 8.22 ANY/A.
Offensively, Wentz has amassed 2,316 passing yards this year. The signal-caller has connected on 64 percent of his 348 attempts with 16 passing scores and six interceptions. Wentz’s got a 6.04 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 3.89 over the last two games.
We expect the Philadelphia offense to mix it up in this one. Zach Ertz (618 receiving yards, three receiving touchdowns on the year), Miles Sanders (399 rush yards, one rush TD, 328 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and JJ Arcega-Whiteside (57 receiving yards) have each played big roles lately.
On the other sideline, Ryan Fitzpatrick has completed 149-of-247 passes for 1,578 yards, 10 TDs and 10 INTs. Fitzpatrick’s ANY/A stands at a less-than-ideal 4.57 for the season and 4.44 over his past two outings.
As a trio, DeVante Parker, Allen Hurns and Patrick Laird have combined for 399 yards from scrimmage over the last two games.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Pick
SU Winner: Eagles, ATS Winner: Eagles, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The Eagles offense has recorded five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Dolphins have accounted for four such plays.
- The Philadelphia defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Miami has given up four such plays.
- The Philadelphia offense has created three rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Miami has created zero such runs.
- The Eagles defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Dolphins have given up eight such runs.
- The Philadelphia D has more than twice as many sacks as Miami this year (31 versus 14).
- As a team, Philadelphia has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.3 over its last two.
- Miami has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.5 over its last two.
