The Dallas Cowboys (+6) are heading northeast to face the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium. Fans can catch the action live on FOX and kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: New England Patriots vs. Dallas Cowboys
In this Sunday matchup, New England is projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 6 points. The Cowboys are also receiving +180 moneyline odds while the Patriots are -220. Some good live betting opportunities could exist during the game, and oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 46.5 points.
The line originally opened at -7 and the over/under was set initially at 47, so early action appears to be shifted toward the Cowboys.
The Cowboys have lost 2.2 units this season and are 6-4 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 7-3.
The surprising Patriots have gained 3.5 units so far. They’re 7-3 ATS and own an O/U record of 3-7.
The Cowboys have gone 6-4 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Patriots are 9-1 SU.
The Cowboys enter after a 35-27 win over Detroit in Week 11Their defense allowed the Lions to run for 121 yards on 28 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Bo Scarbrough had a good day for the Lions in that one with 55 rushing yards and a score on 14 attempts. On the offense, Dak Prescott completed 29-of-46 passes for 444 yards and three touchdowns. Ezekiel Elliott (45 yards on 16 rush attempts, one TD) led the running attack in the win. Michael Gallup (nine receptions, 148 yards) and Jason Witten (five catches, 33 yards) shared the receiving duties.
New England just got a 17-10 win over Philadelphia in Week 11. The defense held its territory in the victory, limiting the Eagles to only 214 passing yards and 81 yards on the ground. Zach Ertz had a good showing in the defeat for Philadelphia, posting 94 yards and a score on nine catches. For New England, Tom Brady completed 26-of-47 passes for 216 yards. Sony Michel (33 yards on 10 rush attempts) handled the ground game in the win while Julian Edelman (five receptions, 53 yards) and White (four catches, 16 yards) led the receiving corps.
Dallas has run the ball on 43.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New England has an overall rush percentage of 40.3 percent. The Cowboys have produced 131.9 rush yards/game and have 12 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Pats are averaging 91 rush yards per game and have 13 total rushing TDs.
If 2019 numbers can translate to this game, then the Cowboys could have the advantage in terms of effectiveness in the ground game. Their running backs has logged 4.6 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 4.2 to opponents. The Patriots have registered 3.3 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 4.6 to opponents.
The Cowboys offense has averaged 322.1 yards through the air overall and has 21 passing TDs so far. The Pats have produced 281.3 pass yards per contest and have 15 total pass scores.
Defensively, Dallas has allowed 105.2 rush yards and 237.2 pass yards per game. The New England defense has allowed 178 yards per game to opposing passers and 97.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The Pats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 2.01 to opposing QBs, while the Cowboys have given up a 5.92 ANY/A.
Prescott has been more efficient than Brady recently, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 8.28for the year (and 9.60 over the last two games). Brady’s ANY/A is 6.61 for the year and 4.71 across his last two games.
Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots Free NFL Tip
SU Winner: Cowboys, ATS Winner: Cowboys, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- As a team, Dallas has rushed for 3.9 yards per attempt over its last three games and 2.7 over its last two.
- New England has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.8 over its last two.
- Both teams have lost four fumbles this season.
- Dallas has won four of its last five games SU, with a four-point loss to Minnesota on November 10th accounting for the only defeat over that stretch.
- The Cowboys offense has produced 11 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Patriots have accounted for four such plays.
- The Dallas defense has allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards, while New England has given up two such plays.
- The Dallas offense has created four rushing plays of 20+ yards, while New England has created three such runs.
- The Cowboys defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Patriots have given up three such runs.
- The New England defense has recorded 37 sacks on the year while Dallas has just 26.
