Week 12 Betting Free Pick: Detroit Lions vs. Washington Redskins

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The Detroit Lions (-3.5) are set to face off against the Washington Redskins at FedEx Field. This early afternoon game will begin at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to FOX.

Week 12 Betting Preview: Washington Redskins vs. Detroit Lions

In this Sunday NFC game, Detroit is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 3.5 points. The Lions are also receiving -160 moneyline odds while the Redskins are +140. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 42 points, and if one team finds paydirt early, it’ll probably create a nice in-game betting opportunity.

The sharp action has been siding with the Lions. The line opened at 2 and the game’s total hasn’t moved after it was set initially at 42.

The Lions are 4-6 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.5 units this season. The team has posted an O/U record of 7-3.

The Redskins have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors so far, losing 6.2 units. They’re 3-7 ATS and have an O/U record of 4-6.

The Lions have gone 3-6-1 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Redskins are 1-9 SU.

The Lions hope to get back in stride after a 35-27 loss to Dallas in Week 11 where Jeff Driskel completed 15-of-26 passes for 209 yards and two touchdowns. Bo Scarbrough (55 yards on 14 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Driskel (51 yards on eight carries, one TD) mounted the running attack in the loss. Danny Amendola (four receptions, 47 yards) and Marvin Jones Jr. (four catches, 43 yards, two TDs) handled the receiving duties.

In Week 11, the Jets knocked off this Washington team by a score of 34-17. The Redskins defense allowed the Jets to kill the clock by running for 115 yards on 33 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Ryan Griffin had a productive outing for New York, accounting for 109 yards on five catches. For Washington, Dwayne Haskins Jr. completed 19-of-35 passes for 214 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Adrian Peterson (25 yards on nine rush attempts) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat while Kelvin Harmon (five receptions, 53 yards) and Terry McLaurin (three catches, 69 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Looking at offensive play-calling, each team sports a strikingly similar (58-42 pass-to-run ratio on the season. The Lions have rushed for 98.7 yards per game and have four touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Redskins are putting up 85.9 rushing yards per game and have two total rush TDs.

The Lions offensive scheme has averaged 297.7 yards through the air overall and has 22 passing scores so far. The Redskins have put up 196.3 pass yards per game and have 11 total pass TDs.

Detroit has allowed opponents to run for an average of 124.2 yards and pass for 302.4 yards per game. The Washington defense has allowed 249.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 133.9 yards per game to opposing runners. The Redskins are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 6.9 to opponents, while the Lions have given up a 7.94 ANY/A.

Driskel has been more efficient than Haskins Jr. recently, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 7.97for the year and 6.04 over the last two outings. Haskins Jr.’s ANY/A is 1.30 for the year and 4.21 over his last two games.

Detroit Lions at Washington Redskins NFL Prediction

SU Winner: Redskins, ATS Winner: Redskins, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • As a team, Detroit has averaged 4.2 yards per carry across its past three games and 4.0 over its last two.
  • Washington has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.2 over its past two.
  • The Washington offense has lost five fumbles this season while Detroit has let six get away.
  • Detroit has lost seven of its last eight games SU, with a five-point victory over New York on October 27th representing the only win over that stretch.
  • The Lions offense has registered nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Redskins have put up four such plays.
  • The Detroit defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Washington has given up six such plays.
  • The Detroit offense has created three rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Washington has created four such runs.
  • The Lions defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Redskins have given up six such runs.
  • The Washington defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 23 times this season. Detroit has produced 20 sacks.