Week 11 Free Betting Pick: New York Jets vs. Washington Redskins

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The New York Jets and Washington Redskins will go head-to-head on the grass of FedEx Field. This early afternoon game kicks off at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to FOX.

Week 11 Betting Preview: New York Jets vs. Washington Redskins

New York is the road underdog in this game and is currently being given 3 points. The Jets are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Redskins are -140. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 37 points, and if one squad catches a lucky break early, it would probably produce a nice betting opportunity in-game.

With the line opening at -2 and the total initially set at 37.5, betting odds have shifted slightly.

The Jets have lost 3.4 units so far in 2019 and are 3-6 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 5-4.

The Redskins are down 5.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-6 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-6.

The Jets are 2-7 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Redskins are 1-8 SU.

The Jets are coming off a 34-27 victory over the Giants last week where their secondary gave up 308 passing yards and four passing touchdowns. Darius Slayton had a good day for the Giants in that one with 121 yards and two touchdowns on 10 catches. On the offense, Sam Darnold completed 19 passes for 230 yards and one touchdown. Le’Veon Bell (only 34 rushing yards on 18 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack while Demaryius Thomas (six receptions, 84 yards) and Jamison Crowder (five catches, 81 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.

A couple of weeks ago in Week 9, Buffalo knocked off this Washington team by a score of 24-9. The Redskins defensive unit allowed the Bills to eat up the clock by running for 122 yards on 39 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Devin Singletary had a solid showing in the win, recording 95 rushing yards and a score on 20 attempts, along with 45 yards on three catches for Buffalo. For Washington, Dwayne Haskins Jr. completed 15-of-22 passes for 144 yards. Adrian Peterson (108 rushing yards on 18 attempts) led the running game while Paul Richardson Jr. (four receptions, 42 yards) and Terry McLaurin (four catches, 39 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Each of these squads sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. New York has run the ball on 39.9 percent of its offensive possessions while Washington has a rush percentage of 41.8. The Jets have run for 67.3 yards/game and have four scores on the ground this year. The Redskins are logging 89.4 rushing yards per game and have two total rush TDs.

The Jets offensive scheme has averaged 191.8 yards through the air overall and has seven passing scores so far. The Redskins have recorded 194.3 pass yards per contest and have nine total pass TDs.

Defensively, New York has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 81.9 yards and throw for 276.7 yards per game. The Washington defense has allowed 244.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 136.0 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Jets have given up an ANY/A of 6.83 to opposing QBs, while the Redskins are yielding an ANY/A of 6.59.

Passing-wise, Darnold is up to 1,047 yards this year. He’s connected on 102-of-165 attempts with six passing scores and eight interceptions. Darnold’s got a 3.84 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 6.09 over the past two outings.

Le’Veon Bell (383 rushing yards, two rush TDs, 221 receiving yards, one receiving touchdown this season), Jamison Crowder (403 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Demaryius Thomas (297 receiving yards) have each played significant roles of late.

In the home locker room, Dwayne Haskins Jr. has connected on 24-of-39 passes for 251 yards, zero TDs and three INTs. Haskins Jr.’s ANY/A stands at a horrendous 1.49 for the year and 2.61 over his past two games.

Adrian Peterson (415 rushing yards, one rush TD, 44 receiving yards on the year), Terry McLaurin (458 receiving yards, five receiving TDs) and Paul Richardson Jr. (205 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) have combined for 387 total yards over the last couple of games.

New York Jets at Washington Redskins Free Prediction

SU Winner: Redskins, ATS Winner: Jets, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • New York, as a team, has produced 3.2 yards per carry across its last three games and 3.2 over its last two.
  • Washington has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.4 over its past two.
  • Both teams have lost five fumbles this year.
  • Each team has produced two pass plays of 40 or more yards and six pass plays of 30+ yards.
  • The New York defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Washington has given up five such plays.
  • The New York offense has created one rushing play of 20 yards or more, while Washington has created four such runs.
  • The Jets defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Redskins have given up six such runs.
  • The Washington defense has sacked opposing QBs 21 times this year. New York has produced 19 sacks.